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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Indians Top 50+ Prospects: The Book

As I alluded to a few months back, I had toyed with the idea of printing the top prospect listing I recently did. I had wanted a print copy to keep for myself, and some others had said they were interested as well. Anyway, now that the prospect piece is done, I am now seriously considering doing this while I have some free time the next few weeks, but because of the upfront cost involved I wanted to see the general interest for such an endeavor.

The book would be somewhere around $10 (plus any shipping) and would be 5.5 x 8.5 size, which those familiar with the Baseball America Prospect Handbook or the Indians Media Guides, that is the size. It would be about 90-100 pages (or more), in paperback and perfectly bound, with the inside pages printed in black ink on 60# bright white offset and a full-color cover printed on a heavy 10 pt. C1S which is UV Coated with a high-gloss protective coating.

The inside would include all the writeups and photos of the Top 50 players plus the Just Missed guys, the 2007 Draft guys, and the DSL guys. Also, an addendum with Barton and Whitney. So, in all 75 players.

I'll also likely have a foreword in it which will basically be my wrapup, but rewritten a little so it fits as a forward for the book. A table of contents, a chart of the top prospects by position, an organizational depth chart, a coach and player development staff listing, and anything else I can think of or that others may recommend.

If I print this, and before I print too many, I just wanted to have an idea who would be interested so I know how many copies I should print. I would also plan to make extras to hand out at spring training. Again, the book would be about $10, which is basically at cost because I would be making such a small print run. If I am able to print more, that cost could drop to $7-8 because a larger print run lowers the cost considerably.

If interested, send an e-mail to me at tlastoria@theclevelandfan.com and let me know what you think and how many copies you would want. Feel free to reply if you have any suggestions as I am open to any and all ideas.

Oh, and one final note, this is my first foray into the world of book publishing. I have been researching this for the better part of four months, and I found a suitable printing company to do it. I'll make these look as good as I can, but remember that I am trying to keep the cost way down on this since I am making at most 50 to 250 copies.....and it is my first time.

Just wanted to mention that. Anyway, as always, thanks for the support and Go Tribe.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Matt Whitney

Matt Whitney - First Baseman
Age: 24 Height: 6'4" Weight: 200 Bats: Right Throws: Right

AVGGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBOBPSLGOPS
2007 Lake/Kinston.2991285129515330032113531221.364.545.909
Career.2584061521227393803632421734496.339.439.778

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Whitney was taken in the first round of the 2002 Draft out of high school, and was a supplemental pick at the end of the first round the Indians obtained when Juan Gonzalez (Type-A free agent) was lost in free agency after the 2001 season. Whitney immediately had Indians scouts excited when at 18 years of age he showed exceptional power in rookie level Burlington where he hit .286 with 10 HR and 33 RBI in 45 games. Last year, Whitney was named the starter at first base for the Northern Division team in the South Atlantic League All-Star Game. Also, he finished the 2007 season tied for fourth in home runs (32) among all minor leaguers.

Strengths & Opportunities: Several years ago, a much younger Whitney was a top prospect in the system who many scouts thought would zoom through the ranks and provide the Indians with a potent right-handed bat for years at third base. Whitney has a powerful, productive bat that according to Baseball America the Indians often considered had "Manny Ramirez" potential after his impressive debut as an 18-year old in the Indians system at Burlington in 2002. Whitney generates tremendous power to all fields, and the ball jumps off his bat.

Unfortunately, a freak leg injury in spring training 2003 seriously sidetracked his career to where he missed the entire 2003 season, and spent all of the next three seasons from 2004-2006 working his way back before his resurgence last year. While he pretty much lost four years of development coming back from his serious leg injury, in some ways he has benefited from it in that he has gained tons of experience dealing with adversity. The reason it took him so long to come back from the injury is because of a myriad of things, such as complications from the surgery, other injuries that cropped up (back) because he compensated for the injury, and he also had a significant decrease in mobility.

Whitney's struggles to regain his mobility to effectively play third base and his nagging leg injuries resulted in the Indians moving him to first base last year. The move to first base was long overdue, and the move seemed to rejuvenate him and helped him concentrate more on his hitting since first base is a much less demanding position. Whitney was no stranger to first base, as he had played there mostly in high school. For his first year at the position in a long time, Whitney moved well around the bag and proved to be an adequate defender at first base.

In addition to the position switch, Whitney's resurgence last year was also greatly helped by him getting his lower half strong and his legs under him again. He had taken a significant step back in his lower body strength the previous three seasons because of the initial leg injury and then the complications that went along with recovering from the injury. He was also much healthier last year, and as a hitter he was shorter to the ball and recognized pitches better.

There is no question Whitney has a potent bat, but in addition to the injury woes throughout his career, he has also had a hard time with his plate discipline. From 2004-2006, he had 276 strikeouts in 817 at bats which was good for a strikeout every three at bats. In 2006, he led the Carolina League in strikeouts with 131, and endured one stretch where he was 0-for-44 at the plate. Last year he improved in this area some, striking out 121 times in 521 at bats which was good for about a strikeout every 4.3 at bats.

Going into the offseason, the Indians wanted to see Whitney shore up his approach at the plate against right-handers. Whitney absolutely hammered left-handed pitching last season (1.031 OPS), but he had some troubles with right-handers and staying away from breaking pitches in the dirt (.883 OPS). He also tends to fly open a lot against right-handers and get pull happy. Before being lost to Washington in the Rule 5 Draft this past December, Whitney had continued to receive instruction in recognizing and laying off the breaking ball in the dirt as well as just his overall pitch recognition.

Outlook: After last season, the Indians organization feels Whitney is finally back to being the outstanding hitting prospect they saw in 2002. Whitney was the healthiest he had been in years, and it showed in the box scores. He reclaimed his position as a top prospect and as one of the top power hitting prospects in the game. It took a lot of hard work, a lengthy rehab, extreme patience, incredible resilience, and a drive to come back. Many players would have given up long ago with the physical problems he dealt with the previous four seasons and the performance issues on top of it, but that is what makes Whitney special. He is a fighter, a great young man, and most of all a gifted hitter. It remains to be seen what happens to him now that he is with the Washington
organization by way of the Rule 5 Draft, but there is a strong likelihood he is returned to the Indians at the end of spring training. If he returns to the Indians, he should open as the everyday first baseman at Akron.

Video: Whitney hits a home run in Kinston.

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Update: 1/23

Just a quick update today on some of the news around the system. Not much is happening as players are getting ready to report to spring training in a little over a month. That said, several players have come up in the news the past few days.

As I mentioned here last week, right-hander Randy Newsom has started a new company which allows fans to invest in minor league baseball players at www.realsportsinvestments.com. Baseball Prospectus wrote an article the other day on it, check it out. The article has some great insight into the financial hardships minor leaguers face, and also showcases Newsom’s very interesting business venture.

The Lake County News Herald wrote a piece a few days ago on outfielder Ryan Goleski. Goleski talks about his struggles last year and how he is preparing himself to come into this season better focused. I have always been a big Goleski fan, and if healthy I think he is in line to have a very good bounce back season this year. The Indians have a BIG need in the outfield at the major league level and have lots of depth at the position in the minors, but no one really stepped up last season to stand out. Hopefully this year someone does take their game to the next level to separate themselves from the others an get a crack at the long-term left field opening in Cleveland.

First baseman/outfielder Jordan Brown was also recently featured in an article in the Cleveland Plain Dealer. The article talks about his outstanding plate discipline and off the charts makeup. Brown will be in Triple-A this year, and has a good shot to play with the Indians at some point this season in left field or at first base. While it was not mentioned, Brown is expected to play some outfield this year. He would have played outfield more least season, but a knee injury he played through the last half of the season relegated him to first base full time.

Some may remember right-hander Mike Eisenberg’s blog last year called Berg’s Blog where he wrote almost daily on his trek through his first full minor league season. It provided some great insight into the life of a minor leaguer and what goes through their heads when they experience failure or success. Eisenberg scrapped that blog and started his new one which he owns at www.eisentower30.com. Check out the site, as instead of just baseball Mike will be writing almost daily on politics, doing movie reviews, current news topics, and some baseball as well.

Last, you may or may not have noticed some scouting reports were added to the scouting reports section. As I noted a few days ago, I am in the process of updating this site and bringing all the reference material up to date, and the first is to give one link access to all the scouting reports for every player from my recent Indians Top 50+ list. Right now, I have about 35 of the scouting reports listed on the left panel for quick access, and the remaining 40 should be up within the next week. Also, each of the nine articles from the Top 50+ list are also linked on the left panel as well under the “2008 Top Prospects” heading.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Brian Barton

Brian Barton - Outfielder
Age: 25 Height: 6'3" Weight: 185 Bats: Right Throws: Right

AVGGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBOBPSLGOPS
2007 Akr/Buf.3051314766414521210664811721.402.420.822
Career.316354127822640471123521215230480.416.473.889

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: The Indians signed Barton as an undrafted free agent out of the University of Miami, FL in August 2004. There were serious concerns about how serious he was about baseball after he had to sit out a year after transferring from Loyola and he was majoring in aerospace engineering. His draft stock plummeted as a result and led to him not being selected in the 2004 Draft.

Strengths & Opportunities: Since debuting in Lake County in 2005, Barton caught the attention of the Indians and made a lot of teams second guess their decision to not draft him. In his 2005 debut, he combined at Lake County and Kinston to hit .326 with 7 HR, 64 RBI, 20 stolen bases and a .948 OPS. He followed that up with a breakout performance in 2006, hitting a combined .323 with 19 HR, 83 RBI, 41 stolen bases and .923 OPS for Kinston and Akron. Even though he hit over .300 and had an OPS over .800 last year, Barton seemed to take a step back due to an alarming drop in power and significant dip in stolen bases. He had a lot of trouble in the one month he was at Triple-A, hitting .264 with a .666 OPS in 25 games.

Barton's build and ability has often been compared by people inside and outside the Indians organization to major leaguer Mike Cameron. Barton is an extremely versatile player who possesses a rare combination of speed on the bases with outstanding bat power to all fields. His speed/power combination is what many teams dream about, and he has the physical tools and the athleticism to make an impact. He is an extremely intelligent player, has great composure, and a very good feel for the game.

As a runner, Barton has very good speed and instincts on the bases and in the field. He also is a good defensive outfielder, and is versatile and shows good arm strength and range to play all three outfield positions. Also, Barton certainly has done a good job of getting on base. While he does not walk a great amount, he does hit over .300 and he gets hit by pitches at a ridiculous rate. So much so, he has been on the league leader board every year and in his minor league career has been hit by a pitch 74 times (30 last year).

Barton does have a tendency to pile up strikeouts, as he whiffed once every four at bats last year which is right in line with his career ratio. His inability to improve his plate discipline as he has moved up the minor league ladder has seen his slugging percentage dip significantly (.502 to .420) from 2006 to 2007. This clearly is his biggest weakness as a hitter, and unless Barton can develop more patience at the plate, he will have a hard time providing consistent production each at bat at the major league level. Barton also needs to work on identifying breaking pitches better, his swing tends to get long and he is very susceptible to inside pitches. Barton is still working on ironing out some things defensively in the outfield.

Barton has done a lot of the things the Indians have asked him to do, but some of the things he has to do to finish off his development are things that are better off being taken care of in the minors where an organization can be more patient with him. Since he was drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals in the Rule 5 Draft this past December, Barton will have to make those adjustments at the major league level where the pressure to produce good results will intensify greatly. The Cardinals will do everything they can to keep him and be patient with him the first month of the season, but if he struggles he most definitely would be returned. The Cardinals may choose to just buy his rights in spring training so they can send him up and down as needed, and to get his full rights they would have to complete some sort of trade with the Indians.

Outlook: Barton really shot up the Indians system in 2006, where he went from an unknown undrafted free agent signing to a top five prospect in the system in two years time. He does it all, as he hits for average and power, he runs well, and is solid defensively. While he is not great at any one of these attributes, he is well rounded enough where he provides good value to any major league team. With the path he has taken and the strides he has made, he has the potential to become a remarkable success story considering he went undrafted. Barton is with the St. Louis Cardinals now as he was taken in the Rule 5 Draft this offseason, and is expected to open the season with them. There is a remote chance he could be returned to the Indians if he struggles in spring training like Ryan Goleski did for Oakland last year.

Video:
Barton at the plate in Buffalo and at Akron.

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Indians Top 50+ Prospects: Wrapup

This is the final installment of the Indians 2008 Top 50+ Prospects series. This is a recap to expand a little on the articles and give some extra insight into the thinking on these pieces since I left opinion out of the actual scouting reports. I received several e-mail responses and many questions which I answered privately, but after thinking about it felt it best to share some of the common questions that probably many people actually had.

Here is a recap of the articles:

Intro & Prospects Who Just Missed
Top 2007 Draft & Dominican Summer League Prospects
Top Prospects #41-50
Top Prospects #31-40
Top Prospects #21-30
Top Prospects #16-20
Top Prospects #11-15
Top Prospects #6-10
Top Prospects #1-5

Also, here is a breakdown of the rankings by position. Players ranked 1 to 50 are listed below with their ranking in parentheses next to their name. Also, for each position, the number in parentheses is the total number of players ranked at that position. Clearly, the Indians area of strength is pitching, particularly with left-handed starters and right-handed relievers. Also, the Indians have good depth in the outfield, first base and catcher. The infield still has little depth, as a total of five players were ranked at second base, shortstop and third base.

Of note, out of the 18 ranked right-handed pitchers, nine of them project to be relievers (or already are): Jensen Lewis, Jeff Stevens, Paolo Espino, Sung-Wei Tseng, Mike Pontius, Luis Perdomo, Eddie Mujica, Michael Finocchi, and Randy Newsom. Out of the 11 ranked left-handed pitchers, two of them project to be relievers (or already are): Tony Sipp and Reid Santos. There are some right-handers and left-handers who are tweeners like Ryan Edell and Shawn Nottingham, but for now they still are being looked at as starting pitchers.

Right-handed Pitchers (18) Catchers (4)
Adam Miller (1) Matt McBride (15)
Jensen Lewis (4) Chris Gimenez (24)
Jeff Stevens (16) Robbie Alcombrack (34)
Hector Rondon (22) Wyatt Toregas (37)
Paolo Espino (26)
Jeanmar Gomez (27) First-Basemen (5)
J.D. Martin (28) Jordan Brown (2)
Sung-Wei Tseng (30) Michael Aubrey (23)
Mike Pontius (32) Chris Nash (25)
Frank Herrmann (35) Stephen Head (29)
Sean Smith (38) Ryan Mulhern (47)
Santo Frias (40)
Luis Perdomo (42) Second Baseman (1)
Eddie Mujica (43) Jared Goedert (13)
Erik Stiller (44)
Michael Finocchi (46) Shortstops (2)
Brian Slocum (49) Josh Rodriguez (8)
Randy Newsom (50) Carlos Rivero (19)
Left-Handed Pitchers (11) Third-Basemen (2)
Chuck Lofgren (5) Wes Hodges (3)
Aaron Laffey (7) Beau Mills (10)
Tony Sipp (9)
Scott Lewis (14) Outfielders (7)
Kelvin De La Cruz (18) Nick Weglarz (6)
David Huff (20) Ben Francisco (11)
Reid Santos (21) Trevor Crowe (12)
Ryan Morris (31) John Drennen (17)
Ryan Miller (33) Cirilo Cumberbatch (39)
Ryan Edell (36) Brad Snyder (41)
Shawn Nottingham (48) Ryan Goleski (45)

Who was eligible:

To be consistent with other publications, this was entirely based on rookie eligibility for innings pitched or at bats. A player loses their rookie status once they reach 50 career innings or accrue 130 career at bats in the major leagues. Service time is also considered when factoring rookie eligibility, but this was not considered.

As a result, players like Asdrubal Cabrera, Franklin Gutierrez, Andy Marte, and Rafael Perez were not considered for this list because last year or the year prior they reached the innings pitched or at bat threshold. Other players like Jensen Lewis, Ben Francisco and Aaron Laffey were still eligible as they fell under the threshold, and Laffey actually was just under as he pitched 49.1 innings last year.

What was the basis behind the rankings?

Some rate prospects purely on results, some on standing (i.e. what level they are playing), while others purely on potential/projection. I combined all three to try and strike a balance between projection with the young guys in lower levels with tools and big potential versus more of the seasoned minor leaguers in the upper levels who have performed well.

Admittedly, I generally favored projection more, especially with the very young kids versus some of the minor league veterans. For example, some may question how I could put Mike Pontius, Ryan Miller or Ryan Morris ahead of guys like Sean Smith, Ryan Mulhern, and Ryan Goleski as the latter three will be in Buffalo and all have had varied minor league success to date. However, the end point is what kind of player does the player have the potential to be? Guys like Smith, Goleski and Mulhern have pretty much reached their ceiling and are who they are, while guys like Pontius, Miller and Morris are nowhere close to their ceiling, they project very well, and in the long run they have potential to be much more than Goleski, Smith and Mulhern. Of course, with the volatility of young players, they also could be much less, which is the risk of rating young players high.

The rankings are arbitrary, and they really are just a guideline of the best players to watch out for and most importantly provide scouting information on each player so fans know who they are. Any list is subjective as while I left opinion out of the actual scouting reports, there was opinion factored into the actual rankings as these rankings came directly from our group conversations and not recommended by the Indians.

The basis for the rankings was not to rank these players based on who is closest to the big leagues or who has performed the best. Potential and projection, at least to me, got a lot of weight, and then after that actual performance and standing were considered. Bottom line, as of January 2008 I like to think of the list as a snapshot from 1 to 50 of players with the best chance to be impact major leaguers, where Miller at #1 has the best chance, Brown at #2 the next, and so on.

Where would Matt Whitney and Brian Barton have been?

Whitney would have been #7 on this list, and Barton #17. Another notable change is McBride would have been #9 had he not had shoulder surgery this offseason.

By popular request, I will soon post the scouting reports that would have posted for both Barton and Whitney. These two were lost in the Rule 5 Draft before I finished the reports, and I pulled them from the listing, but seeing as how they both could return I now think it would be best if I added them for reference. Plus, it may provide a little more insight into what we lost (and may get back).

Who are the biggest candidates to bust or breakout this year?

As with any prospect list, a lot of players will not live up to the hype and expectations, while some others will solidify their status, and yet others will take their game to the next level.

As far as potential breakouts are concerned, I really like Kelvin De La Cruz a lot. One of the reasons he is up so high is the feeling he is on the verge of a breakout season and about to establish himself as a legit top pitching prospect. Another one is Mike Pontius who I think has the makings of a very good late inning reliever down the road, perhaps even a closer in the making. Chris Nash is going to have a big year in Lake County, and while Goedert already broke out in 2007, I think he puts up a great year in 2008 to solidify himself as an explosive offensive second baseman.

Potential busts really center around the younger players since they are still so raw and have little track record where they are being ranked mostly because of projection. Some of the players who I think may not live up to their potential this year would be John Drennen, Beau Mills, Robbie Alcombrack, Ryan Miller, and Jeanmar Gomez. Obviously, these guys are all in the Top 50 so I think highly of them, and it is hard to say why they may struggle this year, but if forced to predict the ones who to have a rough go at it in 2008 these would be my picks.

How strong is the system?

If you ranked the Indians up against the other 31 clubs in baseball, the Indians fall somewhere in the middle of the pack, probably somewhere around 14th to 17th. Some may view this as a sign the system is on a downward slide and our talent pool is starting to dry up, but actually this is more a temporary step back as the Indians have lost many prospects in the last two years to graduation to the majors, in trades, or in the Rule 5 Draft.

The Indians are sort of in an in-between phase with their system. They are generally lauded by people around baseball for having amazing depth in the farm system, but aside from that at this point the Indians have few if any marquee prospects. The reason for this is because over the past two years so many have graduated to the major league level, been traded, or lost in the Rule 5 Draft, and also because many of their top prospects are young and in the lower levels.

What hurts the Indians the most is the 2006 and 2007 Drafts are still coming around, and the Indians lacked any real high round picks last year. The Indians had one pick in the first three rounds last year (Mills, 1st), whereas the previous year in 2006 they had six picks in the first three rounds and in 2005 had five! To take nothing away from the players drafted from the fourth round on, only having one pick in the first three rounds left the organization little options in adding some high profile prospects last year. Also, they have not added very many impact international signings.

Going forward, players like Jared Goedert, Josh Rodriguez, Nick Weglarz, Beau Mills, Kelvin De La Cruz, and so on all have the potential to be big time prospects and had very good to fantastic years last year, but they really need to show they can continue to grow and perform again in 2008. If they do that, the Indians have some star potential on the horizon and some possible blue-chippers when the 2009 rankings come out.

Look out for the Whitney and Barton writeups soon, and I'll continue to update the site with any news between now and the start of minor league spring training (beginning of March). I'll be in Winter Haven for about ten days from Saturday 3/15 through Monday 3/24, and will report on what I see and hope to see many of you there!

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Another Update: 1/17

Just a quick update on some things happening in the Tribe prospect world.

  • Baseball America yesterday released their Indians Top 10 list, and Chris Kline also did a chat talking about the list and some other prospects. If I was ever going to recommend someone other than myself for Indians prospect info, Chris is the guy. He knows the Tribe system up and down, and actually sees a lot of these kids play and keeps tabs on them throughout the season. Most other sites - in fact no one else really – don’t do that. Not John Sickels, not MiLB.com, not any other prospect site on the Internet. So, pay attention to what Chris says, as he talks from firsthand knowledge and gets fed a ton of info from scouts being that he writes for Baseball America.

    As I have said in the past, these rankings are arbitrary and really just a guideline of the best players to watch out for in the system, and most importantly provide scouting info on each player so people know who they are. I have no issues with BA’s list other than Mills and Huff getting such lofty rankings, but this is BA’s usual course of action as top draft picks usually get highly rated in their first season or two. Plus, really, anyone after the Top 6 is interchangeable to be from 7 to 20 or 30 on my list.

  • An unfortunate development in the farm system I just became privy to is right-handed reliever Michael Finocchi has a broken leg. I cannot answer as to how long he is expected to be out, when the injury actually occurred or how it happened, or the severity of the injury. Still, this is an unfortunate setback for Michael, as he is a highly regarded relief prospect in the system and was just coming onto the Indians major league radar. Worst case scenario, his broken leg is severe like the one that sidelined Matt Whitney for all of the 2003 season, or best case he comes back in May/June. I wish Michael a speedy recovery, and hopefully it is not too serious.

  • On the positive side, I also got word that right-handed reliever Randy Newsom just started a company where people can invest in professional athletes. The site is www.realsportsinvestments.com. An interesting idea, and something that will be interesting to follow to see if he hits a home run on this or strikes out. It looks to have potential, but a lot of legal and financial experts would probably disagree. Anyhow, check it out, and supposedly Baseball Prospectus will be running a piece on it soon.

  • Now that my Indians Top 50+ Prospect List is done, I can get to updating some of the outdated reference material here on the site. I slacked on keeping up with the various reference material as all time and energy was spent the past two months finishing the writeups on the prospects. I'll be adding separate links to each prospect scouting report so they can be easily referenced from the left panel by name, and I will also be updating all the other reference material over the course of the next few weeks.

    I’ll also be doing a wrapup piece at some point on the Top 50+ List providing some opinions and answering some questions from e-mailers. And, by popular request, I will at some point here in the next few weeks provide the scouting reports for Matt Whitney and Brian Barton. These two were lost in the Rule 5 Draft before I finished the reports, and I pulled them from the listing, but seeing as how they both could return I felt it best to add them. Plus, it may provide a little more insight into what we lost (and may get back).

  • A quick story. While I was in Vegas last week, I had the fortunate pleasure of bumping into former minor league Quinn Mack. Quinn is the younger brother of popular Minnesota Twins outfielder Shane Mack of the early 90s, and Quinn played 10 years in the minors and only got to experience five games at the major league level in 1994 with Seattle.

    I bumped into Quinn because he is one of those sales representatives for a timeshare in Vegas, and my wife and I did one of those deals to check it out for two hours to get some free show tickets and gambling money. The two hours ended up not being a high pressure sales pitch, but instead him reminiscing about life in the minors once we both found out about each other (him being a former player, me being a minor league writer). Quinn is a good guy, and had some great stories to tell, and his son is currently a sophomore in high school already being scouted. Good luck to him and his family.

  • Last but not least, I am starting to finalize my spring training plans. Looks like I will be driving down to Florida with the family on Thursday March 13th and will visit some family for a day or two, and then be on site at Winter Haven from Sunday March 16th until Monday March 24th before I head back home. If you will be in Winter Haven during that time, look me up.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Chad Ogea Inducted Into Kinston HOF

Former World Series Star to Headline Kinston Hot Stove

Ex-Indian Chad Ogea earns a spot in the Kinston Professional Baseball Hall of Fame

KINSTON – The Kinston Indians announced today that former Kinston and Cleveland Indian pitcher Chad Ogea (O-jay) will be inducted into the Kinston Professional Baseball Hall of Fame at the 2008 Kinston Indians Hot Stove banquet. The banquet will be held on Friday, February 8th at the Hampton Inn in Kinston. A silent auction and social hour will begin at 6pm, with dinner to follow at 7:30pm. Tickets for the Hot Stove Banquet are $25.

Ogea is best known for his amazing performance for Cleveland in the 1997 World Series. Ogea won two games in the series on the mound, but also had a couple of key hits at the plate. In a 4-1 Game Six victory over Florida, Ogea went 2-for-3 with a double, run and two RBI’s. Both hits came off of Florida Marlins ace Kevin Brown, who he out dueled in route to both wins. The two RBI’s were the most by a pitcher in a World Series since 1968. Ogea gave up just two earned runs in 11.2 innings pitched in his two World Series starts.

Ogea pitched five seasons for Cleveland (1994-1998), going 31-23 with a 4.61 ERA. He ended his Major League career in 1999 with the Philadelphia Phillies. Ogea was a third round pick by the Cleveland Indians in the 1991 amateur draft. The LSU product was the starter in the final game of the College World Series when the Tigers won the 1991 NCAA Championship. Ogea was born in Lake Charles, Louisiana in 1970, where he won two Louisiana State High School Baseball titles on his way to being named the Louisiana player of the year.

A Carolina League All Star and Cleveland’s Minor League Player of the year in 1992, Ogea posted a 13-3 record for the Kinston Indians, leading the K-Tribe in wins, ERA (3.49), strikeouts (123), complete games (5) and shutouts (2). Ogea’s amazing season placed him firmly in the K-Tribe single season record books as he is tied for 4th all time in wins, 3rd in complete games and 2nd in shutouts. Although the 1992 Kinston Indians failed to make the playoffs with a 65-71 record, the team was not short on talent as Ogea was joined on the diamond by future major leaguers Manny Ramirez and David Bell.

New Kinston Manager Chris Tremie, Carolina League Commissioner John Hopkins and Cleveland Indians development personnel will also speak at the banquet.

Monday, January 14, 2008

A Quick Update

I'm back from my short vacation and catching up on things, but wanted to throw up a quick update.

I am not sure or not if this has been reported on-line or in the papers, but the Winter Development Program roster has been released. It is as follows:

Three Week Players
1 Brown, Jordan
2 Choo, Shin-Soo
3 Constanza, Jose
4 Dixon, Kevin
5 Edell, Ryan
6 Finocchi, Michael
7 Gimenez, Chris
8 Goleski, Ryan
9 Head, Stephen
10 Huff, David
11 Stevens, Jeffrey
12 Tseng, Sung-Wei

One Week Players
1 Crowe, Trevor
2 Lewis, Scott
3 Lofgren, Chuck
4 Herr, Aaron
5 Nottingham, Shawn
6 Santos, Reid
7 Smith, Sean
8 Toregas, Wyatt

The Winter Development Program is designed to bring in some of the Indians better prospects to give them additional instruction in Cleveland as well as introduce them to the Cleveland area, and bring in guest speakers for practical and inspriational addresses.

Also, an interesting thing happened to me while I was in Vegas. While I was there I happened to bump into Quinn Mack, a former major league baseball player who played in the minors most of his career, and also happens to be the younger brother of Shane Mack, the former Minnesota Twins star. I talked to him for over two hours, and may share some of the stories and insights he provided if I get the chance and can recollect most of what he said. Great guy.

Thanks to everyone for the kind words and responses via e-mail in regard to the Top 50+ Prospect List. I'll most likely do a wrapup of it here in the coming days, providing some opinions and final thoughts on it.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

2008 Indians Top 50 Prospects

1. Adam Miller (RHP)
2. Jordan Brown (1B)
3. Wes Hodges (3B)
4. Jensen Lewis (RHP)
5. Chuck Lofgren (LHP)
6. Nick Weglarz (OF)
7. Aaron Laffey (LHP)
8. Josh Rodriguez (SS)
9. Tony Sipp (LHP)
10. Beau Mills (1B)
11. Ben Francisco (OF)
12. Trevor Crowe (OF)
13. Jared Goedert (2B/3B)
14. Scott Lewis (LHP)
15. Matt McBride (C)
16. Jeff Stevens (RHP)
17. John Drennen (OF)
18. Kelvin De La Cruz (LHP)
19. Carlos Rivero (SS)
20. David Huff (LHP)
21. Reid Santos (LHP)
22. Hector Rondon (RHP)
23. Michael Aubrey (1B)
24. Chris Gimenez (C)
25. Chris Nash (1B)
26. Paolo Espino (RHP)
27. Jeanmar Gomez (RHP)
28. J.D. Martin (RHP)
29. Stephen Head (1B/OF)
30. Sung-Wei Tseng (RHP)
31. Ryan Morris (LHP)
32. Mike Pontius (RHP)
33. Ryan Miller (LHP)
34. Robbie Alcombrack (C)
35. Frank Herrmann (RHP)
36. Ryan Edell (LHP)
37. Wyatt Toregas (C)
38. Sean Smith (RHP)
39. Cirilo Cumberbatch (OF)
40. Santo Frias (RHP)
41. Brad Snyder (OF)
42. Luis Perdomo (RHP)
43. Eddie Mujica (RHP)
44. Erik Stiller (RHP)
45. Ryan Goleski (OF)
46. Michael Finocchi (RHP)
47. Ryan Mulhern (1B)
48. Shawn Nottingham (LHP)
49. Brian Slocum (RHP)
50. Randy Newsom (RHP)

Just Missed:

Jose Constanza (OF)
Adam Davis (2B)
James Deters (RHP)
Todd Martin (1B)
Matt Meyer (LHP)
Roman Pena (OF)
Jason Smit (2B)
Josh Tomlin (RHP)
Neil Wagner (RHP)

2007 Draftees:

Matt Brown (OF)
Bo Greenwell (OF)
Jonathan Holt (RHP)
Chris Jones (LHP)
Joey Mahalic (RHP)
T.J. McFarland (LHP)
Kevin Rucker (OF)
Mark Thompson (SS)

Dominican Summer League Players:

Abner Abreu (3B)
Lurvin Basabe (2B)
Kelvin Diaz (3B)
Alexander Perez (LHP)
Danny Salazar (RHP)

Indians Top 50+ Prospects: #1-5

This is the final installment a nine piece installment ranking the Indians top prospects. All photos in this installment are courtesy of Carl Kline. To get in touch with Carl Kline for photo assistance, please e-mail me at tlastoria@theclevelandfan.com and I will forward his e-mail address to you.

One note, these height and weights are as of Feb/March 2007 as new height and weights are not available yet, so players have gotten bigger over the last year than the listed vitals. Also, all ages are as of 04/01/2008.

5. Chuck Lofgren - Left-handed Pitcher
Age: 22 Height: 6'4" Weight: 215 Bats: Left Throws: Left

WLERAGGSSVIPHERHRBBKBB9K9WHIP
2007 Akron/Buffalo1284.5826260151.31607715711304.227.731.53
Career34183.4879790406.3365157301813674.018.131.34

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Lofgren was projected to go much higher in the 2004 Draft, but fell due to signability concerns, and the Indians eventually selected him in the 4th round out of Junipero Serra High School (CA). He graduated from the same high school as Barry Bonds, Tom Brady, Lynn Swann and Greg Jeffries. Lofgren's 2006 season at Kinston was sensational, as he went 17-5 with a 2.32 ERA, held opponents to a .217 batting average against (BAA), and piled up 125 strikeouts in 139.2 IP. Lofgren set a Kinston modern-day franchise record for victories by a pitcher in a season with 17, and his 17 wins tied him for the most wins in all of the minors that season. He was also named the Carolina League Pitcher of the Year. In a May start on Mother's Day last year, Lofgren threw seven no-hit innings before leaving because of a high pitch count.

Strengths & Opportunities: Lofgren is as legit as it gets, and is one of the top ten left-handed pitching prospects in all the minors. Lofgren is a physical starting pitcher who has a good four-pitch mix led by a fastball that ranges from 90-93 MPH but tops out at 95 MPH. In addition to the fastball, Lofgren also throws a slow curveball that tops out at around 75 MPH and a changeup and slider which sit in the low 80s. He possesses the best swing-and-miss fastball statistic in the system, and that swing-and-miss rate is heavily influenced by Lofgren's good fastball command, velocity and deception in his delivery.

As a young pitcher pitching at an advanced level last season, Lofgren displayed great mound presence and his combination of athleticism and power on the mound is exciting. Lofgren is a competitor on the mound, and likes to attack hitters on the inside part of the plate with his fastball. He is very good at changing speeds and mixing his pitches. Because of the varying speeds and repertoire, it gives him many weapons to attack hitters and keeps them from zeroing in on one pitch, speed and location.

Several comparisons have been made of Lofgren to a young Al Leiter as his stuff, presence and approach are nearly identical. Lofgren also has a knack for kicking it into a second gear on the mound when he has to pitch with runners in scoring position. Pressure just does not phase him, and he is comfortable on the mound in any situation. The Indians have been most impressed with Lofgren's consistency from start to start, and feel this is a direct result of Lofgren's commitment to routine and being very mature for his age. He is a student of the game in that he understands and appreciates the history of the game. He also is grounded ego-wise where he understands he is in a special place and that he is talented and is going to make the most of it.

Lofgren came into the system with basically a fastball/curveball mix, and while his curveball was his out pitch in high school, at times he leaves it up and it is not nearly as good as it was when he was an amateur. Lofgren has sharpened his curveball up over the past two seasons and the results started showing in his sensational 2006 season. Lofgren still needs some refinement with his delivery, and he needs to work on being more efficient with his pitches since his pitch counts get high by the middle innings of games. While he has good fastball command, in order for him to pitch and have success in the big leagues Lofgren still has to command his fastball better than what he has shown so far. Also, he needs to work more on finishing off hitters. His changeup is the biggest key for him and he still needs more work on developing it.

Lofgren had mixed results last year at Akron, but he adapted well to Double-A at a young age. It should be noted that it took half a season for Adam Miller to catch fire and dominate in 2006, as the jump from Single-A to Double-A is arguably the biggest step in the minors. While he did not match his outstanding statistical season from 2006 when he won 17 games and had a sub-3.00 ERA, there was no way he could duplicate it and anything he did was not going to be viewed as good as that year.

Outlook: The organization is enthusiastic and very excited about Lofgren's potential. Lofgren's aptitude is off the charts, which is why he continues to move through the Indians system quickly. Lofgren is on the fast-track to the major leagues, and could debut as a September callup this season before he gets strong consideration for a spot on the major league roster in spring training of 2009. This year, Lofgren should move up and be part of a talented and deep starting rotation in Buffalo.

Video: Lofgren on the mound in spring training.

4. Jensen Lewis - Right-handed Pitcher
Age: 23 Height: 6'3" Weight: 195 Bats: Right Throws: Right

WLERAGGSSVIPHERHRBBKBB9K9WHIP
2007 Akr/Buf/Cle411.88600281.35817427952.9910.521.05
Career15103.3475382258.72419624692582.408.981.20

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Lewis was picked in the 3rd round of the 2005 Draft out of Vanderbilt University. Lewis was a mid-season NY-Penn League All Star in 2005 while at short-season Single-A Mahoning Valley, and in 13 appearances (11 starts) Lewis was 4-2 with a 3.20 ERA and in 59 innings pitched allowed 58 hits, 11 walks and struck out 59. Still a starter in 2006, Lewis went 8-8 with a 3.96 ERA in 27 combined starts in Kinston and Akron. As a reliever last year, when he was promoted from Akron to Buffalo he gave up a solo home run to the first batter he faced and after that only allowed one run. From May 1st until he was called up to Cleveland on July 13th he had a 0.68 ERA.

Strengths & Opportunities: While Lewis consistently threw 90-92 MPH as a starter, the Indians felt he could add more velocity as he matured and was shifted to the bullpen, which is exactly what happened. The Indians moved Lewis into a bullpen role at the start of last season, and Lewis immediately impressed and quickly moved into the Indians bullpen picture by midseason. Lewis was moved up to Cleveland on July 13th and he became a vital piece to the bullpen through the rest of the season and in the playoffs. The shift to the bullpen allowed Lewis to be much more aggressive and throw harder. His fastball velocity increased to where he was consistently throwing 93-94 MPH, and his strikeout ratios increased dramatically (8.41 K/9 in 2006 to 10.56 K/9 in 2007) and his WHIP decreased considerably (1.30 in 2006 to 0.94 in 2007).

Lewis is aggressive with his fastball and can elevate it, while his changeup is above average and is a devastating out pitch to both right-handed and left-handed hitters. He also has just developed a little cut slider that he can throw with two strikes and in on a lefty to get a groundball, and it really is two different pitches depending on if he is facing a left-hander or right-hander. The addition of his newly developed slider was the pitch that finished him off to make him a quality reliever.

Lewis handled the bullpen transition well, which goes back to his experience pitching out of the bullpen at Vanderbilt. Going into last season, the Indians thought Lewis was a guy who could come quick in the bullpen because he is a hyper guy and gets loose quick. Also, there was really not a lot of development left for him, so there was not a big need to keep him in the starting rotation to continue to work on his pitches, game situations and his mechanics in five to six innings an outing and in bullpen sessions between starts. The Indians saw Lewis as a guy who could probably be better facing a lineup once than flipping around through it three times. Over the course of the season, Lewis showed a great ability to bounce back to the daily grind in the bullpen.

One of the big reasons for his success is his makeup on the mound and the confidence that flows from him while on it. Lewis has a very strong mental approach to the game, and has excellent command. He is fundamentally sound, controls the running game, and fields his position well. He is very athletic, and he creates good deception with his delivery. He is one of the most disciplined players in the Indians organization, and highly intelligent. He has really made the most of his development opportunities, and everything he has been asked to do he has answered the call.

Outlook: Along with Aaron Laffey, Lewis was the hottest pitcher in the system last year. One of the Indians biggest problems since their rebuild has been their inability to develop quality relievers, and with Rafael Perez and Lewis last year along with a laundry list of good relief candidates currently in the minors, it appears their fortune has changed for the better. Lewis will go into the season as one of the Indians primary bullpen options and pitch in the 7th and 8th inning. Down the road, he could become the team's main setup main or even the closer.

3. Wes Hodges - Third Baseman
Age: 23 Height: 6'2" Weight: 180 Bats: Right Throws: Right

AVGGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBOBPSLGOPS
2007 Kinston.28810439360113223157144900.367.473.840
Career.28810439360113223157144900.367.473.840

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Hodges was drafted in the 2nd round of the 2006 Draft out of Georgia Tech, but did not play in 2006 with the Indians since he was still mending from a stress fracture in his foot. Even though he basically played on one leg more almost all of his final season at Georgia Tech, Hodges still hit .329 with 11 HR and 68 RBI in 219 at bats. Last year, Baseball America tabbed Hodges as the best power prospect, the best defensive third baseman, and having the best tools in the Carolina League. He was also named Team MVP at Kinston, and was a Carolina League Post-Season All Star.

Strengths & Opportunities: Hodges is a player who was born to hit. When he broke the hamate bone in his left wrist his senior year in high school, instead of missing the year he taught himself to hit from the left-side of the plate and hit .430 that year. Hodges is a very disciplined hitter with great bat-to-ball ability, and has a nice line drive stroke with good power potential to all fields. Hodges handles fastballs well, although he has to go through the growing period with learning to recognize and hit changeups and breaking balls and making adjustments. He should be able to as his aptitude is off the charts and he has an unbelievable ability to make adjustments.

As a defender, Hodges does it all with good hands, a strong arm and very good range at third base. The Indians like his athleticism at third base, and combined with his very advanced and professional bat feel he is a rare find. He was okay last year at third base, but the feeling by those in the game is he can become even better and the arm is good enough to handle the position. It is just a matter of getting a little experience. The Indians are in no rush to push him, and feel he is one of the most intelligent baseball players in the system and a true student of the game.

Hodges has the potential to be the biggest impact player from the Indians 2006 Draft, and would have been taken higher in the draft if he did not have some injury concerns. Going into 2006, Hodges was ranked as a preseason Top 10 college draft prospect and surefire first round pick, but that ranking took a hit when he came down with a stress fracture in his left leg. Hodges fell on draft day, and the Indians gambled and selected Hodges with their third of four second round picks. The Indians signed him for $1 million and to a 2007 contract to hold him out of action the rest of the season and give him more time to mend from the injury. Hodges came back from the injury well, but he was sidelined with two other injuries the first half of last season with a bad hamstring and broken toe in his left foot that saw him miss just short of a month of action. Hodges played the last half of the year with a sore foot as the broken toe did not require surgery and could heal on its own, but was bothersome while it healed. It remains to be seen if the injury issues he has had the last two years is a chronic issue to be concerned about.

Hodges hamstring injury and broken toe injuries last year may have been a blessing in disguise. While out with the injury, it gave Hodges time to step back, take a deep breath, and make some early adjustments since it was his first professional season. It gave him extra time to work with Kinston hitting coach John Nunnally on shortening his swing and simplifying his approach at the plate. Early in the year, Hodges swing mechanics were somewhat erratic as he held his hands close to his chest and as the pitcher went into his delivery he would slide them back to generate load in his bat. This hitting style gave Hodges fits against pitchers with quick deliveries and slide steps from the stretch. Nunnally did some tinkering where he cocked Hodges hands back into a pre-loaded position by his right shoulder and use his legs as a timing mechanism and to shift load in his bat. Hodges became more relaxed at the plate and began to look for certain pitches early in the count.

There was talk last year of moving Hodges up to Akron around the Carolina League All Star break in late-June, but the Indians decided against it as they did not want to rush Hodges and still felt there were some things he could better work on in Kinston with hitting coach John Nunnally. While Hodges work ethic is second to none, he is still adapting to the everyday grind of professional baseball and learning to be more consistent. Going forward, Hodges needs to continue applying his relaxed, patient approach to the plate as he had a real hard time jumping after off-speed pitches too soon last year. He also needs to continue applying what Nunnally taught him in thinking down and through the ball to help create more line drives. This past fall, the Indians worked on getting Hodges legs more into his swing and his first step quickness on defense. He also needs to get stronger.

Outlook: With Kevin Kouzmanoff being sent packing to San Diego in the Josh Barfield trade last offseason, and Andy Marte struggling to stay in Cleveland, Hodges is the top third base prospect in the system. If he can stay healthy and on the field he will move through the system quickly, and is someone who could push for a major league job sometime in 2009. There is no one above him at Buffalo blocking him, so if he impresses the first half of the season at Akron he could move to Buffalo by mid-season and possibly even be a September callup for the Indians. Hodges will start the year at Akron.

Video: Hodges at the plate.

2. Jordan Brown - First Baseman
Age: 24 Height: 6'0" Weight: 205 Bats: Left Throws: Left

AVGGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBOBPSLGOPS
2007 Akron.333127483851613621176635611.421.484.906
Career.307271103117131763102917111712217.385.472.858

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Before last season, Brown got a lot less pub than his former University of Arizona Wildcat teammate Trevor Crowe. While Crowe was drafted in the 1st round of the 2005 Draft, Brown was selected a few rounds later in the 4th round of the same draft. After a very slow start in 2006 where he hit .232 with 0 HR and 9 RBI in Kinston's first 28 games that season, Brown settled in to finish the season hitting .290 with 15 HR, 87 RBI and an .831 OPS and won the Carolina League MVP Award in 2006, and his career has taken off from there. Last year at Akron, his .333 batting average won him a league batting title, and he also finished 1st in the league in hits (161), 6th in runs (85), 4th in doubles (36), 9th in RBI (76), 3rd in on-base percentage (.421), 11th in slugging percentage (.484), and 5th in OPS (.906).

Strengths & Opportunities: Brown has an amazing ability to put up consistent numbers from month to month and year to year. He is a very disciplined hitter and gets on-base at a very good clip. He is one of the best players in the system at bat-to-ball ability and making hard, consistent contact as demonstrated by his low strikeout totals where he strikes out only once every 8.5 at bats for his career and has virtually a 1:1 walk to strikeout ratio for his career. Brown will likely at most be a 20-25 HR a year hitter, but he has good gap power and piles up doubles. Baseball America rated Brown as having the best tools, best strike zone judgment, and as the best batting prospects in the Eastern League last year.

Brown is a pure hitter with incredible hand-eye coordination and a passion for hitting. His sweet swing and approach at the plate has drawn many comparisons to the likes of Sean Casey, Mark Grace and John Olerud, players who never hit for a lot of power but hit for a high average and piled up doubles. Brown is athletic and a hard worker. While he only has average speed, his intelligence as a runner helps him get good jumps to steal bases and take extra bases on hits.

Given the depth the Indians farm system had in the outfield going into last season, Brown was moved back to first base last year. Brown has played first base and outfield throughout his college and professional career, and the flexibility to adequately play both positions will help him down the road as he looks to make the big league club. With such a logjam in the outfield and at first base at Buffalo this year, Brown may end up splitting his time at both first base and outfield. He moves well around the bag, but he still needs more work on his overall defense and positioning with relay throws from the outfield.

Brown's consistent and very good season is even more impressive when you consider he was bothered by an injury to his left knee since May, and the injury lingered all year as he played through it. Brown had scar tissue and bone chips in his knee causing pain, but he was informed he could not injure himself any worse by playing, so he opted to play through the season and have arthroscopic surgery in the offseason. The only thing the injury really affected was Brown's ability to run the bases as it slowed him down some. Brown's only other injury since joining the Indians was a hand injury he suffered in 2005 which limited him to only 19 games at Mahoning Valley after being drafted.

Last year, Brown was named the Eastern League Rookie of the Year, which is an award that has good company. Since the award came into existence in 1996, Eastern League Rookie of the Year honorees have included Vladimir Guerrero (1996), Mark Kotsay (1997), Pat Burrell (1999), Alex Escobar (2001), Marlon Byrd (2002), Grady Sizemore (2003), and Ryan Howard (2004). He also was named MVP of the Eastern League, which was Brown's second straight MVP-season as he won the Carolina League MVP Award in 2006. Brown's back-to-back MVP seasons are only rivaled by Victor Martinez, as he won the Carolina League MVP in 2001 and the Eastern League MVP in 2002 in successive years just like Brown. Brown was also the Topps Carolina League Player of the Year in 2006 and Topps Eastern League Player of the Year in 2007.

Brown came in as a hacker when he was drafted, but has learned to understand the value of getting good pitches to hit. He understands that he can not do damage early in the count with marginal pitches, and he has developed into one of the best strike zone managers in baseball. Going forward, there is not a lot he needs to do as a hitter as he really just needs to continue learning to make adjustments and get some at bats in Triple-A. His main focus will be on improving defensively, be it at first base or in the outfield. If he hones his defensive skills, he could be a very special player for a long time.

Outlook: Even after winning the Carolina League MVP in 2006 at Kinston, Brown still seemed to come into the 2007 season somewhat under the radar. Not anymore. Brown quickly proved last year that his MVP season was legit, and that he was a prospect to be reckoned with. Brown just needs a little seasoning in Triple-A, and is an option for the Indians really anytime in 2008. He will start the year in Buffalo.

Video: Brown at the plate and taking batting practice in spring training.

1. Adam Miller - Right-handed Pitcher
Age: 23 Height: 6'4" Weight: 200 Bats: Right Throws: Right

WLERAGGSSVIPHERHRBBKBB9K9WHIP
2007 Buffalo544.821911065.36835421682.899.371.36
Career32243.6198880461431185281374552.678.881.23

Photo courtesy of Carl KlineHistory: Miller was drafted out of high school (TX) in the 1st round of the 2003 Draft, and had a commitment to play for the University of Arizona before signing with the Indians. Miller was unbelievable the final two months of the 2006 season at Akron as he posted a 0.29 ERA in July and a 1.59 ERA in August, and then followed that up in spring training last year by pitching 14 scoreless innings in five games. Miller's 15 wins at Akron in 2006 set a franchise record, passing Paul Byrd's 1992 franchise record of 14 wins in a season. His 161 strikeouts also crushed the single-season team record of 149, which was set by Travis Driskill in 1996. He was named the Eastern League Pitcher of the Year in 2006, and was also the Indians Minor League Pitcher of the Year (Bob Feller Award) in 2004 and 2006.

Strengths & Opportunities: Miller is an extremely confident pitcher, and aggressively attacks every hitter. His four-seam plus-plus fastball consistently clocks in at around 96-97 MPH and it has topped out as high as 101 MPH, and he also throws a two-seam fastball that bottoms out well and allows him to better change speeds on his fastball. His best pitch is his plus-plus devastating power slider that he throws in the upper 80s that has excellent tilt and shows great late break. He also throws a changeup, which has become a very good weapon for him and shows good depth. When he is on with the pitch, the development of Miller's changeup has made his fastball and slider almost un-hittable.

Miller made a fine adjustment to pitching at the Triple-A level last year, and became more confident with his secondary pitches by throwing 2-0 changeups and 3-1 sliders. Miller has been able to harness his emotions and adrenaline on a consistent basis in order to allow better command of his fastball and secondary pitches when behind in the count. He has very good command of his pitches, and has a clean delivery. Miller displays quick arm action in his windup, which makes it tough to pick up the baseball in his hand. His secondary pitches are crisp and he consistently keeps them down in the zone.

Miller took a huge leap as a pitcher in 2006, as he was on a strict 85 pitch count in order to keep him healthy and fresh after an arm injury in 2005. The reduced pitch count actually helped force Miller to learn how to be more efficient as a pitcher as he began to use all three of his pitches effectively and his maturity as a pitcher began to show as he depended more on location with those three pitches rather than just sheer velocity. He evolved into a pitcher, rather than just a thrower. He also met with Roger Clemens in the spring of 2006 as Clemens came to Winter Haven and sat down with Miller to personally talk about his routine and provided some invaluable insight on pitching.

Miller was scratched from a scheduled start in May with a slight strain on the last digit of the middle finger on his pitching hand, an injury commonly found among rock climbers. It is believed the injury was a result of all the torque he puts on his middle finger when he pitches, so this could be something to monitor going forward. The Indians put him on the disabled list and he was out of action for 45 days as a precautionary move. The injury was bad timing for Miller, as had he not suffered the finger injury it is very possible he could have been the one called up in early June to take Jeremy Sowers' spot in the Cleveland starting rotation when Sowers was sent down (Jason Stanford got the nod instead).

Miller took the setback well, and actually showed some signs of maturity when he initially experienced pain with the injured finger as instead of trying to pitch through it like a lot of kids do, he told the Buffalo coaching staff. This was good to see, as two years ago he threw through elbow problems in spring training where he ended up straining the ligaments in his right elbow which shelved him for the first few months of the 2005 season and he did not make his first start until June 21st. That injury ultimately set Miller back almost a whole year in his development.

The Indians caught a big break in that the finger injury was not serious, and the Indians were extremely conservative with Miller's progression back and followed the recommendations and protocols of hand specialist Dr. Tom Graham. After returning to the rotation in late June from the finger injury, Miller was shutdown for a month because of inflammation in his pitching elbow. Miller had been battered around the park in his first three starts after returning to the rotation by giving up 18 runs on 21 hits in only 9.1 innings pitched. Miller's elbow injury was different from the one he suffered in 2005 as it was not in the same area, nor was it considered to be related to the finger injury he suffered earlier in the year.

When Miller initially came back from the finger injury, the Indians had him pitch out of the bullpen to get him back into game shape. Also, when he came back from the elbow issues in late-August he finished the year in the bullpen. Overall, he totaled eight appearances in the bullpen, which provided a small sample size of his ability to handle pitching out of the bullpen and he handled it well. The Indians acknowledged last year that Miller could become a viable bullpen option for the major league team in a middle or late relief role in 2008, but even if Miller does pitch out of the Indians bullpen at some point in 2008 it would only be a temporary solution as they still envision him long-term as a starter.

Reportedly, Miller is 100% healthy and ready to go in 2008. He was sent to the Arizona Fall League (AFL) this offseason to get more work in and to give him the opportunity to pitch some more innings to where he can increase his workload to 180 to 200 innings. Going forward, Miller needs to continue to develop a feel for pitching to go with his power approach. His changeup still needs a little more work. Most importantly, Miller needs to show he is durable enough to stay a starter and can be counted on as the impact pitcher many believe he will be at the major league level.

Last year, Sports Illustrated magazine named Miller to their "Dream Rotation" which is an up-and-coming dream five-man rotation compiled by 11 high-ranking major-league executives. Prospects with one season or less of major league service time were eligible for the list, and Miller was 4th in the rotation which also included Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka, Philadelphia's Cole Hamels, New York Yankees' Phillip Hughes, and San Francisco's Tim Lincecum. Miller is the only one in that dream rotation who has yet to appear in the majors.

The Outlook: Miller is healthy and the elbow injury he suffered ended up not being as serious as some feared it would be back in July. It was a rough year for Miller as he endured two long stints on the disabled list for two separate injuries, but when all is said and done he is still the prize of the Indians system. With Indians ace left-hander C.C. Sabathia's looming free agency, the Indians need a front of the rotation starter they can turn to in the event they are unable to re-sign Sabathia. The 23-year old Texan fire-baller could that pitcher, which is why it is important that Miller see significant time in Cleveland over the course of the 2008 season. Miller was recently rostered this offseason, his option clock is now ticking, and he is a legit starting pitching alternative the Indians can turn to if a need arises this season. While Miller likely starts the year in Buffalo, he could be a dark horse for a spot in the Cleveland bullpen out of spring training, and will see some action in Cleveland at some point this year.

Video: Miller on the mound.

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And that's a wrap. Feel free to provide any feedback on the entire list - good or bad - as well as any additional questions you may have to me at tlastoria@theclevelandfan.com. I'm off to Vegas for a few days, so all e-mails will be responded to when I get back. Thanks for reading!