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Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Indians Top 100 Prospects: Wrapup

Over the past two months on this site we counted down the Indians Top 50 Prospects from #50 to #1, with #1 being unveiled this past weekend (I am sure the suspense in regard to who was #1 was killing you).

Anyway, here is a quick recap of the Top 100 listing. Yes, I said Top 100. While the site countdown was the Top 50, my book actually ranked the Top 100 and included an additional 65+ reports. For details on the new book, go here.

Who are the biggest helium candidates to watch out for this year?

In the Top 25, keep an eye on left-handed pitchers T.J. House and Scott Barnes, two young pitchers who I think are going to take a big leap in value this year and jump as many as 5-10 spots in next year’s listing. In the 26-50 range, right-handed pitcher Danny Salazar and outfielder Delvi Cid have serious helium potential. In the 51-100 range, look for shortstop Argenis Martinez and right-handed pitchers Nick Sarianides and Alexander Morales to make the biggest move up the rankings by the end of the season.

Who are some lower level upside guys to watch out for?

Keep an eye on right-hander Santo Frias as if he is healthy this year he still makes for an interesting relief pitching prospect. Catcher Roberto Perez is a guy who improved by leaps and bounds last year, so it bears watching how he does this season. Right-hander Carlos Moncrief has been converted from a pitcher back to an outfielder, a position he drew high praise at prior to the draft, so it will be interesting to see how his season goes.

Who could stumble this year?

This is always tough to predict, but if I had to make an educated guess as to which players in the Top 25 might struggle this year and fall some in next year's listing, I would say my two biggest concerns would have to do with right-handed pitchers Jeanmar Gomez and Jess Todd.  Gomez has never really impressed me, though he is viewed much more highly by the Indians, their fans, and by other publications.  I don't know exactly what it is, but I think it is just that he doesn't show anything special or have great stuff.  I hope I am wrong.  Also, with Todd, I think he could struggle this year going back and forth between Columbus and Cleveland.  Again, it's tough to pick anyone who I think could struggle as ultimately injuries are what typically play a huge part in struggles, and you can never predict injuries.

Who could impact the big league team the most this year?

Obviously outfielder Michael Brantley and left-handed reliever Tony Sipp will both have a big impact on the big league team in some way this year.  But as for minor leaguers yet to make their major league debut, you obviously have to consider catcher Carlos Santana as once he makes it to Cleveland by mid-season he should become a staple in the middle of the lineup for years.  Right-hander Hector Rondon could impact the big league team in some way this year, be it in the rotation or bullpen.  If the Indians find themselves in a situation where they are contending, don't be surprised to see Rondon pitching out of the bullpen to break him into the big leagues.  If first baseman/outfielder Jordan Brown is given a shot, he could add a lot to the lineup, and right-handed relievers Zach Putnam and Josh Judy could be late season additions and become fixtures in the bullpen for years.
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Here is the full Top 100 listing as well as a listing showing the top prospects by position.  As a reminder, the scouting reports for #51-100 plus an additional 65+ players are only available in the new 2010 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More book.


1Carlos Santana ©51Yohan Pino (RHP)
2Lonnie Chisenhall (3B)52Josh Rodriguez (INF)
3Nick Hagadone (LHP)53Adam Miller (RHP)
4Michael Brantley (OF)54Joe Gardner (RHP)
5Abner Abreu (OF)55Neil Wagner (RHP)
6Jason Knapp (RHP)56Paolo Espino (RHP)
7Nick Weglarz (OF)57Santo Frias (RHP)
8Hector Rondon (RHP)58Bryce Stowell (RHP)
9Carlos Carrasco (RHP)59Erik Stiller (RHP)
10Alex White (RHP)60T.J. McFarland (LHP)
11Kelvin De La Cruz (LHP)61Carlton Smith (RHP)
12T.J. House (LHP)62Matt Brown (OF)
13Jason Kipnis (2B)63Ryan Edell (LHP)
14Tony Sipp (LHP)64Argenis Martinez (SS)
15Jordan Brown (OF)65Stephen Head (OF)
16Alexander Perez (RHP)66Chris Jones (LHP)
17Zach Putnam (RHP)67Joey Mahalic (RHP)
18Lou Marson ©68Ryan Morris (LHP)
19Jeanmar Gomez (RHP)69Chris Gimenez (UT)
20Carlos Rivero (SS)70Roberto Perez ©
21Jess Todd (RHP)71Greg Folgia ©
22Scott Barnes (LHP)72Ben Carlson (1B)
23Jason Donald (INF)73Lucas Montero (OF)
24Josh Judy (RHP)74Mike Pontius (RHP)
25Beau Mills (1B)75Jason Smit (OF)
26Wes Hodges (3B)76Mike McGuire (RHP)
27Eric Berger (LHP)77Nick Sarianides (RHP)
28Delvi Cid (OF)78Vinnie Pestano (RHP)
29Cord Phelps (2B)79Alexander Morales (RHP)
30Bryan Price (RHP)80Carlos Moncrief (RHP)
31Matt McBride (OF/C)81Jeremie Tice (3B)
32Trey Haley (RHP)82Jerad Head (UT)
33Danny Salazar (RHP)83Dallas Cawiezell (RHP)
34Chen-Chang Lee (RHP)84Brett Brach (RHP)
35Frank Herrmann (RHP)85Steve Smith (RHP)
36Tim Fedroff (OF)86Scott Lewis (LHP)
37Kyle Bellows (3B)87Jose Constanza (OF)
38Connor Graham (RHP)88Matt Langwell (RHP)
39Clayton Cook (RHP)89Preston Guilmet (RHP)
40Hector Ambriz (RHP)90Nate Recknagel (1B)
41Steven Wright (RHP)91Francisco Jimenez (LHP)
42Josh Tomlin (RHP)92Cory Burns (RHP)
43Jordan Henry (OF)93Wyatt Toregas ©
44Mitch Talbot (RHP)94Chun Chen ©
45Marty Popham (RHP)95Ryan Miller (LHP)
46Rob Bryson (RHP)96David Roberts (RHP)
47Bo Greenwell (OF)97Brian Grening (RHP)
48John Drennen (OF)98Vidal Nuno (LHP)
49Austin Adams (RHP)99Jerad Goedert (3B)
50Donnie Webb (OF)100Chris Nash (1B)



Top Prospects By Position
Right-handed Pitchers
Jason Knapp (6)Hector Ambriz (40)Joey Mahalic (67)
Hector Rondon (8)Steven Wright (41)Mike Pontius (74)
Carlos Carrasco (9)Josh Tomlin (42)Michael McGuire (76)
Alex White (10)Mitch Talbot (44)Nick Sarianides (77)
Alexander Perez (16)Marty Popham (45)Vinnie Pestano (78)
Zach Putnam (17)Rob Bryson (46)Alexander Morales (79)
Jeanmar Gomez (19)Austin Adams (49)Carlos Moncrief (80)
Jess Todd (21)Yohan Pino (51)Dallas Cawiezell (83)
Josh Judy (24)Adam Miller (53)Brett Brach (84)
Bryan Price (30)Joe Gardner (54)Steve Smith (85)
Trey Haley (32)Neil Wagner (55)Matt Langwell (88)
Danny Salazar (33)Paolo Espino (56)Preston Guilmet (89)
Chen-Chang Lee (34)Santo Frias (57)Cory Burns (92)
Frank Herrmann (35)Bryce Stowell (58)David Roberts (96)
Connor Graham (38)Erik Stiller (59)Brian Grening (97)
Clayton Cook (39)Carlton Smith (61)Outfielders
Left-handed PitchersCatchersMichael Brantley (3)
Nick Hagadone (4)Carlos Santana (1)Abner Abreu (5)
Kelvin De La Cruz (11)Lou Marson (18)Nick Weglarz (7)
T.J. House (12)Matt McBride (31)Jordan Brown (15)
Tony Sipp (14)Roberto Perez (70)Delvi Cid (28)
Scott Barnes (22)Greg Folgia (71)Tim Fedroff (36)
Eric Berger (27)Wyatt Toregas (93)Jordan Henry (43)
T.J. McFarland (60)Chun Chen (94)Bo Greenwell (47)
Ryan Edell (63)First BasemenJohn Drennen (48)
Chris Jones (66)Beau Mills (25)Donnie Webb (50)
Ryan Morris (68)Chris Gimenez (69)Matt Brown (62)
Scott Lewis (86)Ben Carlson (72)Stephen Head (65)
Francisco Jimenez (91)Nate Recknagel (90)Lucas Montero (73)
Ryan Miller (95)Chris Nash (100)Jason Smit (75)
Vidal Nuno (98)Third BasemenJerad Head (82)
Second BasemenLonnie Chisenhall (2)Jose Constanza (87)
Jason Kipnis (13)Wes Hodges (26)Shortstops
Jason Donald (23)Kyle Bellows (37)Carlos Rivero (20)
Cord Phelps (29)Jeremie Tice (81)Argenis Martinez (64)
Josh Rodriguez (52)Jared Goedert (99)

3 comments:

I'm not sure if I agree with Marson over McBride. By all accounts, McBride's upside with his bat significantly outpaces Marson now that he's back at catcher. With McBride's bat, work ethic, and leadership at catcher, I'd imagine he's one the top 150-200 in the game.

What are the chances Trey Haley actually takes a leap forward this year? What is he going to be - 20?

I'm going to have to disagree on Marson-McBride. Marson may have less power, but he is a more advanced hitter with much better plate discipline and on-base ability. Also, McBride apparently will NOT play catcher this year which obviously hurts his value a lot. Things can change, but he is working out strictly at 1B/LF this spring and that is where he will supposedly play this year.

As for Haley, he has youth and potential on his side that's for sure. He's extremely raw still as a pitcher, so it is up to him as if he continues to work hard the sky is the limit for him. He's someone I am excited to see show some growth this year at Lake County.

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