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Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Offseason Spotlight: Rob Bryson

Rob Bryson (Photo: Lianna Holub)
The Rule 5 Draft is just over a week away, and one player the Indians left unprotected who should get some interest is right-handed relief pitcher Rob Bryson.

Bryson, who turns 24 in two weeks, is coming off a tough season where he missed the first two months of the season because of a broken foot that he suffered just before the start of spring training. He opened the season in extended spring training and rehabbed before making his 2011 season debut at Low-A Lake County on June 5th. He spent about a week in Lake County before moving up to High-A Kinston for a month, and then in mid-July settled in at Double-A Akron for the rest of the season.

In total Bryson made 30 appearances between the three stops and went 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA. In 39.1 innings he allowed 28 hits, 3 home runs, 16 walks, and had 48 strikeouts.

“I [didn’t get] a ton of innings this year, but for the most part I have made the most of my opportunities,” Bryson said in a recent interview for the IPI. “I have had a few ups and downs throughout the way, but I am working on things that I need to get better at and just trying to go out and compete when I get the chance.”

Bryson is currently pitching winter ball out in Venezuela for Bravos de Margarita where in 11 appearances he is 0-2 with a 3.38 ERA (8.0 IP, 10 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 6 K). The extra work this winter is helping him make up for the two months he missed at the start of the season. It is also giving him a chance to gain some extra experience, work on things, and also showcase himself to teams that may consider him for the Rule 5 Draft next Thursday.

“I feel really good right now,” Bryson said. “From the limited innings I have had my arm still feels fresh and [it is good to] pitch somewhere in the offseason. I got a late start on the season and I was kind of working out the kinks as I was going. It was a little rough at the beginning but I settled in quickly.”

Bryson has battled numerous injuries since being acquired by the Indians back in July of 2008 as one of the four players the Indians received from the Milwaukee Brewers for left-handed pitcher C.C. Sabathia. He came down with a shoulder issue in August of 2008 that resulted in offseason surgery to his right labrum and rotator cuff. The subsequent rehab resulted in him missing most of the 2009 season and he was not back to full health until the 2010 season.

“I have had to deal with a ton of injuries over the last three seasons,” Bryson said. “Actually, since I have come over in the trade I haven’t really been able to stay healthy as I have been battling injuries the whole way. But one thing I have tried to do is try to perform and make the most out of the limited opportunities I have had when I am on the field.”

Bryson was more consistent with his velocity this past season as he often sat at 92-94 MPH with his fastball and occasionally popped in a 95 or 96. Even with all the success he had in his return in 2010 (7-2, 2.53 ERA, 53.1 IP, 80 K, .165 BAA) his velocity was inconsistent, but this year he has been in a much better rhythm and effortless with his delivery and that along with the return of his arm strength allowed him to get back to the consistent velocity levels he had prior to his shoulder surgery.

“My arm feels great and I feel like I am getting some arm strength back to where it used to be,” Bryson said. “My velocity has been pretty consistent and improved since last year. I have been able to pitch without pain, so I can work on things a bit more without having that in the back of my mind. Even though I had success [in 2010] I was in the training room for two hours every day just so I could go on the field. Now I can just go about my business and concentrate on things.”

The ankle injury that Bryson suffered this spring is still a sore talking point with him. He literally broke it just days before the start of spring training when he stepped in a hole while running poles at his high school facility back home. The injury no longer bothers him physically, but the timing was awful and ruined the momentum he had built from a very good 2010 season and offseason.

“I really busted my ass last offseason, so that’s the thing that sucked,” Bryson said. “I really worked hard in the weight room. I long tossed a bunch. Physically I was in the best shape of my life. And then I break my foot. It is fine now and has not been an issue while lifting, running or throwing. I haven’t tried to make it an excuse for anything and I have put it behind me and am healthy now and moving forward.”

Once Bryson recovered from his foot injury and was able to settle in on the mound this past season he worked on improving his breaking ball and adding a changeup more prominently into his pitch mix.

“I have been throwing two different breaking balls, a get me over first pitch curveball and then the hard slider,” Bryson said. “I feel like my slider is definitely better. It is my best pitch though I still don’t think I have completely found it to what it was prior to my injury. I have also added the changeup which is helping big time with lefties. I used to really struggle with lefties as I did not have anything to attack them with, so I throw it a ton now and also throw it to righties.”

Bryson has also continued to work on maintaining consistency with his delivery.

“The key to my delivery is just staying back over the rubber and getting my hand out,” Bryson said. “That is the biggest thing for me to get the good separation and timing in my delivery. Sometimes I get in a hurry and jump out and drift to the plate and drag my arm. That’s when I get a little wild and everything gets elevated.”

It was a disappointing season for Bryson on several levels from the injury to not getting rostered, but he has maintained a positive attitude through it all and is realistic about the situation he is in. He understands the quality of depth the Indians have with bullpen arms in the upper levels, and knows the injury hurt his chances to make it to Triple-A Columbus this season. He reassessed things and is happy with his season and what next year may bring.

“In the bigger picture I would have liked to be [at a higher level], but there is nothing I can do about that,” Bryson said. “All the guys in Columbus threw the crap out of the ball and the big league bullpen is ridiculous. I really had my sights set on possibly seeing Columbus at some point in the season, but obviously the injury changed all that. Once the injury occurred I had to set different goals for myself as realistically I was not in the same situation. From where I have gone since the injury I think I have accomplished everything I wanted to do in getting back and staying healthy.”

Bryson along with a host of other Indians’ Rule 5 Draft eligible players will find out their Rule 5 fate next week, but no matter what happens he just wants to finish up strong in winter ball and have the same positive vibe going into next season as he did this season before the injury.

“I am just looking forward to going into next season healthy, having a good spring training next, and staying healthy,” Bryson said.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Indians honor Lee, Kipnis

C.C. Lee
Today the Cleveland Indians announced their Minor League Pitcher and Player of the Year Awards naming right-handed pitcher Chen-Chang Lee as the 2011 Bob Feller Award recipient and second baseman Jason Kipnis as the 2011 Lou Boudreau Award recipient.

Lee, 25, had a great year between Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus where he went a combined 6-1 with a save and 2.40 ERA in 44 relief appearances (71.1 IP, 53 H, 19 ER, 23 BB, 99 K). He averaged 12.5 strikeouts per 9.0 IP and limited minor league hitters to a .210 (53-252) average against with 3 HR allowed. On the season right-handed batters hit .197 (28-142) off him with just four extra base hits. After beginning the season in Akron (2.50 ERA, 23 G), he was promoted to Columbus on June 22 where he finished the year by going 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA in 21 games (31.2 IP, 26 H, 8 ER, 43 K) and recorded an ERA of 1.29 in four Triple- A playoff appearances (7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 R/ER, 4 BB, 7 K).

Lee hails from the island nation of Taiwan and was signed as an amateur by the Indians in September of 2008. He owns a three-year Minor League career record of 15-11 with a 3.01 ERA in 133 relief appearances (227.1 IP, 179 H, 76 ER, 14 HR, 73 BB, 278 K), averaging 11.0 strikeouts per 9.0 IP over the span. He pitched for the Taiwanese National Team in the 2008 Beijing Olympics and the 2009 World Baseball Classic.

Kipnis, who also won the award in 2010, spent the first three and half months of the 2011 season at Triple-A Columbus, hitting .280 (96-343) with 16 doubles, 9 triples, 12 homers, and 55 RBI in 92 games. He also scored 65 runs and stole 12 bases in 13 attempts. At the time of his July 22 promotion to Cleveland he was leading the International League in triples (9), was 2nd in runs (65), tied for 12th in hits (92) and RBI (55) and was 16th in OPS (.846). He homered in the July 10 XM Futures Game, hit lead-off in the Triple-A All-Star Game and was named to the IL Postseason All-Star Team and was a Baseball America Triple-A All-Star selection.

Kipnis went on to hit .272 (37-136) with Cleveland over the final two months of the season with 9 2B, 1 3B, 7 HR and 19 RBI in 36 games (.841 OPS). He and Victor Martinez are the only Indians position players to win the award in consecutive seasons (award began in 1990).

Previous Bob Feller Award Winners
1990 Charles Nagy 1991 Mike Soper
1992 Chad Ogea 1993 John Carter
1994 Steve Kline 1995 Danny Graves
1996 Danny Graves 1997 Marc Deschenes
1998 David Riske 1999 Robert Pugmire
2000 Jason Stanford 2001 Mike Bacsik
2002 Billy Traber 2003 Fausto Carmona
2004 Adam Miller 2005 Jeremy Sowers
2006 Adam Miller 2007 Aaron Laffey
2008 David Huff 2009 Hector Rondon
2010 Alex White 2011 Chen-Chang Lee

Previous Lou Boudreau Award Winners
1990 Jim Thome 1991 Manny Ramirez
1992 Ken Ramos 1993 Jim Thome
1994 David Bell 1995 Richie Sexson
1996 Russ Branyan 1997 Sean Casey
1998 Alex Ramirez 1999 Scott Morgan
2000 Billy Munoz 2001 Victor Martinez
2002 Victor Martinez 2003 Grady Sizemore
2004 Ryan Garko 2005 Ryan Mulhern
2006 Kevin Kouzmanoff 2007 Asdrubal Cabrera
2008 Beau Mills 2009 Carlos Santana
2010 Jason Kipnis 2011 Jason Kipnis

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: November 29

Eric Berger
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Puerto Rico Winter League
  • Giovanni Soto (RP, Gigantes de Carolina): 2.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K. Soto is making up for lost time this fall after missing a big chunk of the regular season because of elbow soreness. He has been very impressive in 8 appearances this fall allowing just 1 run in 9.0 innings and has allowed 6 hits, 3 walks and has 9 strikeouts. For a young 20-year old kid like him, you can’t perform much better than that.
Venezuelan Winter League
  • Eric Berger (RP, Bravos de Margarita): 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K. Berger made his Venezuela debut going a perfect inning of relief and got the win. He is expected to remain out in Venezuela until the league wraps up play, and could really use the extra time to get some extra innings in for more experience and also to refine his pitches.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Around the Farm: November 28

Juan Diaz
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Dominican Republic Winter League
  • Juan Diaz (SS, Estrelles de Oriente): 1-for-4, K. Long time no see for the recent 40-man addition. Diaz had been MIA for almost 4 weeks as he had not played since November 2nd, but apparently a minor injury sidelined him. Hopefully the time off healed his bat as well since he is hitting just .133 in 11 games.
Venezuelan Winter League
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes del Magallanes): 3-for-5, R, 2 3B, 2 RBI, K, 2 SB, E. Carrera’s best game in Venezuela in some time as he ripped two triples and stole two bases, though he incurred his fourth error (throwing) this fall.  His bat is heating up as he has multi-hit games in 3 of his last 4 games and in 4 of his last 6 games and is hitting .302/.362/.488 in his last 10 games.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Monday, November 28, 2011

2011 Arizona Fall League Recap

The Arizona Fall League (AFL) wrapped up play over a week ago. I had planned to post this recap last Wednesday, but with the details of the new CBA that came forth early last week along with the holiday I decided to hold off on this recap until today. Better late than never.

Here are a few quick thoughts on each player that participated in the AFL this fall:

Tim Fedroff (OF): Fedroff was out in Arizona for the first week-plus of the AFL season, but once first baseman/outfielder Chad Huffman joined the club about a week and a half into it he was deactivated. He also incurred a minor injury which the Indians felt was best to just shut him down and not have him continue playing in the AFL instead of having him go back out later in the AFL season when he would have been able to be activated again. He only played in three games and went just 2-for-11 at the plate with 2 2B, 2 BB, and 2 RBI. His inability to remain on the field was a blow to him as he was unable to showcase his talents to a lot of the top scouts for other clubs. There is no doubt the book was already written on him after scouts evaluated him this season, but considering he is Rule 5 Draft eligible it may have provided him a slim opportunity to improve how he is viewed and get him drafted, but now there is almost no chance. He should open next season as one of the starting outfielders at Triple-A Columbus.

Jesus Aguilar (1B): The most impressive performance by any Indians’ player this fall in any offseason league has come from Aguilar. With no experience above the Single-A level and just 31 games at the High-A level, the inexperienced 21-year old has more than held his own against pitching that is of Double-A and Triple-A caliber. In 16 games in the AFL he hit .339 with 3 HR, 9 RBI and 1.069 OPS, and so far in five games out in Venezuela is hitting .273 with 1 HR, 4 RBI and 1.166 OPS. His walk-strikeout ratio this offseason has been much better than it was in the regular season when he had 46 walks and 126 strikeouts. He is still striking out a lot this offseason with 20 strikeouts in 70 at bats, but he is also drawing a good amount of walks (17). He still has his problems with breaking balls low and away and is something pitchers will expose a lot more as he moves up the minor league ladder, and he also has a long way to go with his defense at first base to be a Major League option there. Those are the two things he will continue to work on this offseason and into the start of next season. Due to the strides he has made this offseason he may open the season at Double-A Akron, but a return to High-A Carolina is not out of the question.

Roberto Perez (C): Perez had a nice return to the desert where he hit .226 with 4 HR, 11 RBI, and .854 OPS. At first glance his performance at the plate was not very good as the .226 batting average is awful, but looking deeper into the numbers he actually played well. He continued to play above average defense behind the plate, and at the plate he had more walks (13) than strikeouts (10). With his walks he had a very good .382 on-base percentage, which is amazing considering how low of a batting average he had. He also showed some pop blasting four homers that helped spike him to a .474 slugging percentage. He could probably hold his own in the big leagues right now as a defender, but the bat still has a ways to go even to have him around as just a backup catcher. The discipline is there, but he needs to start showing more consistent results when he puts the ball in play. He is Rule 5 Draft eligible, and assuming he is not drafted he will likely open next season as the starting catcher at Double-A Akron.

Chad Huffman (OF/1B): Huffman’s regular season struggles carried over into the AFL as he hit just .214 with 1 HR, 11 RBI and .655 OPS in 17 games. For as experienced a Triple-A player as he is much more was expected of him at the plate. His overall combined showing at Triple-A Columbus and the AFL this year is going to make it hard for him to remain with the club in 2012 considering at Columbus they have Beau Mills slotted as the regular first baseman and several other options at their disposal to play the outfield next year. He played some first base this fall to give him more experience at the position and some versatility so the Indians could use him either as an outfielder or first baseman next season. Reviews of his first base performance were mixed, but the overall view is he is at best a below average defender there. Another concern is how out of shape he looked and how he really softened up this season. He will need to train hard this offseason to get in better shape and with a clean slate at the plate it may help him get his performance up to expected levels. If he sticks with the Indians next year – and I still think he will – he will open the 2012 season at Triple-A Columbus rotating between the outfield, first base and designated hitter.

Carlos Moncrief (OF): Moncrief was a late season addition to the AFL roster because Fedroff was unable to return due to a minor injury. In eight games he hit .174 with 0 HR, 0 RBI, and .584 OPS. His performance at the plate is not surprising considering he has only reached Low-A and was facing much more advanced pitching that exposed him at the plate. He did draw 5 walks, but he also had 8 strikeouts in 23 at bats. He is a very raw, inexperienced player who had a nice season at Low-A Lake County this year hitting .233 with 16 HR, 53 RBI, and .768 OPS in 122 games. The batting average and high strikeout total (158) is a concern, but he shows a ton of athleticism and a good power/speed combo that makes him exciting. He is also given a pass for some of his performance at the plate because he has only been an outfielder in the system for the last two years as he transitioned there from the mound in spring training last year. He exhibits a good plan at the plate and is patient, but now he needs to work on improving the discipline and get better at making more consistent contact. He was a busy man this offseason playing in the Instructional League, Parallel League, and Arizona Fall League, so the hope is the extra games and instruction have helped give him a foundation to make the needed improvements next season where he will likely play at High-A Carolina and take off as a hitter.

T.J. McFarland (SP): McFarland had a very nice showing out in the AFL as he made eight starts going 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA (28.1 IP, 30 H, 1 HR, 13 BB, 22 K). He is a second level prospect for the Indians as you will not see him ranked in many Top 20-25 lists, but he has been a consistent performer so far in his minor league career and has the talent to pitch in the big leagues someday. The Indians love his ability to put the ball on the ground as in four minor league seasons he has yet to have a groundball-flyball ratio below 2.17, and in over 455 career innings has allowed just 30 home runs. While the Indians love his sinker, he needs to continue to work on his secondary offerings to make them average Major league pitches. There is no doubt that he is probably disappointed that he was not rostered this offseason. He is now eligible to be picked up in the Rule 5 Draft, but considering teams rarely take soft tossing back of the rotation starters in Rule 5 he will likely return to the Indians next season. The question is where he will pitch next year as he had a good season this past year at Double-A Akron going 9-9 with a 3.87 ERA in 25 starts that is worthy of promotion, but with so much starting pitching depth at the moment at Triple-A Columbus and other good pitchers on the Akron staff deserving of a callup, it looks like he will return to Akron to start the 2012 season.

Preston Guilmet (RP): Guilmet went 0-0 with a 6.43 ERA (14.0 IP, 18 H, 0 HR, 8 BB, 12 K) in ten appearances this fall. The numbers were not pretty nor what people had grown to be accustomed to after his stellar showing at High-A Kinston this year (2.16 ERA, .202 BAA, 35 saves), but he had a much better showing in the AFL than his numbers suggest. His numbers were inflated by two poor back-to-back performances where he allowed 8 runs and 9 hits in 3.0 total innings, and while you can’t pick and choose which stats to include sometimes when there is such a small sample size of data there are some poor outings that just need to be thrown out. Everyone has a bad game of two over the course of a season, but the problem is in an offseason league you do not have the benefit to pitch a lot more games and make up for a poor outing since the opportunities are limited. He showed average stuff and is still considered a fringe Major League prospect at best, but he continues to be effective and should open next season at Double-A Akron where he will have a great opportunity to continue to prove himself and raise his stock as a prospect.

Cory Burns (RP): Coming off a great season at Double-A Akron where he put up a 2.11 ERA and had 35 saves which garnered him Double-A Reliever of the Year honors, Burns went out to the AFL and continued to pitch well going 2-1 with 1 save and a 4.50 ERA (14.0 IP, 18 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 12 K). He doesn’t overpower hitters with a big fastball nor does he have any plus Major League pitch, but he continues to get hitters out and dominate them because of the deception from his funky tornado-like delivery and his ability to throw all of his pitches for strikes. Like with Guilmet, he had a tough two-game stretch where he allowed 6 runs and 9 hits over 2.0 innings, so his numbers and performance were actually much better than they appear. Over his last six outings he was every bit the pitcher he was during the regular season as he threw 7.0 shutout innings allowing 6 hits, 1 walk and had 9 strikeouts. His standing in the organization is good though his view as a prospect is limited, so he will need to continue to pitch well and prove people wrong. He will probably open the 2012 season as the closer at Triple-A Columbus.

Tyler Sturdevant (RP): If there was one pitcher that elevated his stock the most this fall it is Sturdevant. In ten appearances in the AFL he went 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA (12.0 IP, 11 H, 1 HR, 4 BB, 13 K) and was really consistent out there from the beginning to the end. He has been an unheralded reliever in the system the past few years mostly because of his age and his draft standing, but he has elevated himself to one of the best relief pitching prospects in the system. Not just because his performance the last two years, but also because of Major League stuff that has the Indians excited about his potential as a middle reliever (or more) at the big league level in the near future. He was consistently up to 98 MPH this fall and he even touched 100 MPH once though it may have been a hot gun. When you combine that powerful fastball with an above average cutter, he is a very intriguing relief option down the road for the Indians and is a guy Indians fans are going to start to hear a lot more about next year. That should start in the spring as I would be very surprised if he is not a spring training invite to big league camp. No matter what happens he will likely open the season at Triple-A Columbus and if he continues to progress like he has he could be an option in Cleveland later in the year and definitely appears to be in line for at least a September callup.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: November 27

Roberto Perez
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Puerto Rico Winter League
  • Roberto Perez (C, Indios de Mayaguez): 1-for-4, 2 K. Perez made his debut on Sunday out in Puerto Rico. After a solid showing in the AFL where he hit .226/.382/.472 in 16 games he is putting in more work this offseason to get better at the plate.
Venezuelan Winter League
  • Jesus Aguilar (DH, Leones del Caracas): 1-for-2, R, HR, RBI, 2 BB. It is VERY early and the offseason leagues do not typically raise or lower the stock of players, but you just have to like everything Aguilar has done this offseason in the AFL and so far in Venezuela.
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes del Magallanes): 1-for-4, R, BB. Carrera continues to play every day and be the leadoff hitter for his Magallanes team. He has already piled up 105 at bats this fall, which is yet more experience and game action for him to get better in the field and at the plate.
  • Rob Bryson (RP, Bravos de Margarita): 1.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 0 K. After just one appearance in about three weeks it looks like whatever was ailing Bryson has subsided as he has now made 3 appearances in 6 days. He has struggled in 11 games this fall allowing 10 hits and 6 walks in 8.0 innings pitched.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Tribe Happenings: Offseason checklist shifts to first base

The Indians risk on Sizemore in 2012 is
more than just money (Photo: AP).
Some news, notes, and thoughts from my Indians notebook…

Sizemore returns for one year

The Indians officially welcomed back popular centerfielder Grady Sizemore on Wednesday by signing him to a one year deal for $5 million. The deal also includes up to an additional $4 million in incentives he can make based on the number of plate appearances he makes in 2012.

The Indians likely explored the free agent and trade options available to fill their center field need and it looks like they were either underwhelmed by the options available or they were too costly to obtain. This led them back to Sizemore as if he can stay healthy he could be just as much of an impact player as any available in free agency or the trade market.

Many people are excited to see Sizemore return as he has been a fan favorite for quite some time, but some people – including myself – wonder if the Indians may have just been better off to part ways this offseason and look for another outfield option.

The Indians are taking a big risk by re-signing Sizemore. By bringing him back even in light of his recent injury history they are essentially hoping he will be healthy next season.

No team understands Sizemore’s medical situation better than the Indians, but it is still a large gamble to sign a player that has been limited to 210 games played over the last three seasons because of numerous injuries and surgeries. When a player keeps getting injured like he has for three straight seasons it looks less like bad luck but more a sign that the player is in decline.

With a finite budget of around $60-70 million the $5 million base amount the Indians will pay Sizemore is a good chunk of the budget that probably could have been better spent in another manner. There is no doubt that he has proven in the past that he can be an impact performer, something he demonstrated early in the season last year until he got hurt. But again, his health is a huge question mark as he has now had three consecutive injury riddled seasons, and the chances are more likely he will continue to struggle with injuries in 2012 than he will not.

In a way Sizemore embodies everything that is wrong with the Indians’ lineup as he strikes out a lot and has durability issues. The strikeouts and health issues are big reasons why the Indians lineup struggled so much with its consistency and went through long cold spells last year, and if they struggle in 2012 it will likely be the reason once again.

By bringing back Sizemore it does give the Indians another year to assess the center field trade market and flush out internal options before going into next offseason having almost no choice but to fill that need. At the moment several solid to good center field options will be free agents next offseason with the likes of B.J. Upton, Michael Bourn, Shane Victorino, and Melky Cabrera. There should also be a few center fielders available in the trade market as well.

Sizemore is certainly capable of bouncing back this season with a big year. If he does it will help the Indians chances immensely in their chase for the AL Central crown and a postseason run. All we can do is wait and see.

Hopefully the Indians have a trick up their sleeve and sign or trade for a veteran right-handed hitting outfielder. Such a player is needed to complement their all left-handed hitting outfield and it would also be nice if that player had the capability to play every day in order to take some of the workload off of Sizemore as well as left fielder Michael Brantley and right-fielder Shin-Soo Choo.

No matter what happens this upcoming season it will likely be Sizemore’s last as an Indian.

If Sizemore goes out next season and plays well and stays healthy he will have re-established his market value and will get a handsome contract in free agency. This would probably push his price tag to an amount well beyond the Indians’ comfort zone and they would simply have to say goodbye and watch as he signs elsewhere.

If Sizemore has an injury riddled season and/or struggles at the plate, chances are the Indians will have no choice but to cut ties with him as he can no longer be counted on. So whether he struggles or excels he is probably gone for good after this coming season.

First base options

With Sizemore in tow it leaves but one position in the lineup that is not “set” going into spring training. The Indians will surely look at opportunities to upgrade other positions on the roster, but barring something shocking happening this offseason in a trade, the rest of the lineup is set except for first base.

The Indians have a few internal options for first base with Matt LaPorta and Carlos Santana, but those are more for depth (LaPorta) and versatility (Santana). They really need an everyday option and a new player from outside the organization to come in and help spark the lineup. While they will not limit their search to a right-handed bat it is imperative they pick one up in order to help balance out their left-handed heavy lineup with a right-handed power bat that can be a run producer.

Of course when you talk free agents and the Cleveland Indians in the same sentence it often leads to a lot of disappointment. Very rarely have they ever gone outside of their comfort zone to sign a free agent to a deal of three or more years, but they have done so in their recent past under the Dolan ownership with the likes of left-handed pitcher Chuck Finley, right-handed pitcher Paul Byrd, and outfielder Ellis Burks. All three players received three year deals for at least $7 million a year, and another player right-handed closer Kerry Wood was signed three years ago to a two year $20.5 million deal.

So it is possible that since the stakes have been raised because they are in a window of contention that the Indians will be more willing to go outside of their comfort zone and sign someone to a lucrative multi-year deal.

Over the past few weeks I have suggested the Indians sign first baseman Derrek Lee and outfielder Andruw Jones – two veterans who could help the Indians. With the signing of Sizemore it changes my view on both players as neither is an impact bat and more of a complementary kind of bat. A player like Jones could still fit in well with the outfield mix, but the Indians need to look at better options than Lee at first base.

Albert Pujols and Prince Fielder are the top two free agent options available at first base and both will cost way more than what the Indians can afford. But when you skim past their names there are some solid options available in free agency which could help the Indians fill their right-handed middle of the order bat need at first base. Three of the best fits may be free agents Aramis Ramirez, Michael Cuddyer, and Josh Willingham.

Ramirez is a third baseman and reportedly still wants to play there, but if the Indians could convince him to sign and play first base for them he would be exactly what the doctor ordered for the lineup. He is 33-years old and had a good season for the Cubs last year hitting .306 with 26 homers, 93 RBI and .871 OPS in 149 games. The feeling in the industry is he could be signed for three years and for $12-15 million per season. He would be costly for the Indians and a big reach because he probably will not agree to move to first base, but he is still a player they should make every effort to sign.

Cuddyer would be a fine addition as he can also play the outfield and some second base if needed, so his versatility could also provide some protection in the outfield if Sizemore or any other outfielder were to get hurt and miss extended time. He will be 33-years old before next season starts and this past season hit .284 with 20 homers, 70 RBI and .805 in 139 games for the Twins. Because of his versatility there will be some interest by bigger market clubs which will probably drive his price up, and the feeling in the industry is he could be signed for three years and $10-12 million a year.

Willingham may be the best fit of the three as he will probably come cheaper than Cuddyer and Ramirez and the Indians have some real interest in him as he was someone they tried to acquire this past July and August in a trade. He has some good power from the right side and has some versatility to play other positions, but the big red flag for him is his injury history. He will be 33-years old before the start of next season and with the Athletics last year hit .246 with 29 homers, 98 RBI, and .810 OPS in 136 games. He may be able to be signed for a Kerry Wood-like deal of two years and $9-10 million a season.

There are other first base options like Carlos Pena, Casey Kotchman and the aforementioned Lee, but Pena and Kotchman both hit left-handed and appear to be poor fits for the lineup and Lee is no longer an impact bat.

The Indians will look through every nook and cranny in the trade market this offseason, but if the answer cannot be found via a trade then they are going to have to step outside of their comfort zone and sign one of the more marquee free agents this offseason in order to make an impact to their lineup.

Sudden impact

The Indians and the fans are hopeful to pick up an “impact” right-handed bat this offseason, but the definition on what an “impact” bat is can vary. This is why no matter what the Indians do this offseason to add a bat or two to improve the lineup there is bound to be a segment of fans that are left disappointed.

For once there is some optimism that the Indians will finally make a noticeable splash this offseason. That they won’t just be bargain bin shopping. That GM Chris Antonetti has the guts and the creativity to pull off another deal to get another good player here like he did over the summer with right-handed pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez.

With the Jimenez deal Antonetti showed he was willing to gamble and take the risk to acquire a higher profile player. No one is expecting Pujols or Fielder, but the fans want someone who is a significant upgrade at first base, and Antonetti’s short history with deals brings some cautious optimism that he will gamble much more than his ultraconservative predecessor Mark Shapiro.

If the Indians end up filling their offseason needs in the lineup by resigning Sizemore and picking up a couple of has-beens it will be met with a lot of criticism, so the hope of many is that there is still more to come. The hope is that the Indians will continue their aggressive approach with procuring players and that they make a splash or two this offseason of "impact" quality.

More teams seeing wild

This week Major League Baseball announced a new Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) that will maintain labor peace for another five years between the league and its players. The new CBA changed several things, some for the good like the free agent compensation system and some player salary adjustments, and some for the bad with changes to both the draft and international market which could end up a disaster.

But the best change of all may be the addition of one wildcard team in each league. The new wildcard setup will now have two wildcard teams in each league play a one game playoff and the winner of that game will go on to face one of the three division winners in a normal best-of-five series in the Divisional Round.

This is great for the Indians and every other team in the league as everyone now has an extra shot to make the playoffs in any given season. It also puts much more emphasis on winning the division in order to avoid that a one and done scenario as a wildcard team.

It is but one playoff game, but if anyone witnessed the insanity on the final night of this past season with so many teams needing to win or go home, we will now be ensured to get that every year. We basically get to kick every postseason off with a Game Seven every year. You can’t get much more exciting than that, and with the changes the Indians and their fans have a greater chance to join in on the fun.

Valbuena traded

On Saturday the Indians completed a trade to send infielder Luis Valbuena to the Toronto Blue Jays in exchange for cash considerations. Valbuena had been designated for assignment on November 18th when they cleared his spot on the roster in order to add some minor league players that were up for roster protection.

Valbuena is still young and may have something to offer to a big league team at the Major League level, so maybe a fresh start in Toronto will be just what he needs to get his career going again. I have been a staunch supporter of him over the years as I believe he still has the potential to be a suitable second baseman on a second division team and has some value as a bench player at the big league level. I would have certainly rather kept him around than roster infielder Juan Diaz, but the Indians apparently felt it was time to move on and go in a different direction with their infield depth going forward.

Parting shots

On Friday the Indians announced two changes to their uniforms for next season as they made subtle changes to their traditional home white jersey and their alternate road navy jersey. The changes can be viewed at Indians.com. … Indians’ minor league free agent outfielder Jerad Head is not expected to return to the Indians in 2012 and may not play for any Major League organization next year. I have heard he may end up playing next season overseas. … Minor league free agent right-handed reliever Jason Rice - whom the Indians picked up off waivers in September from the Oakland Athletics - was signed to a minor league contract on Tuesday by the Atlanta Braves.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: November 26

Ezequiel Carrera
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Venezuelan Winter League
  • Jesus Aguilar (1B, Leones del Caracas): 0-for-4, K. Aguilar proves to be human with an 0-fer in his fourth game of action out in Venezuela. His manager hitting him in the cleanup spot is a clear show of faith in his abilities to be a consistent run producer.
  • Luis Valbuena (2B, Cardenales de Lara): 2-for-5, 2B, 2 RBI, K. Valbuena celebrated his new beginning in a new organization with a productive night at the plate. Good luck to Louie V. with the Blue Jays….it did not work out well for him in Cleveland but maybe it will in Toronto.
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes del Magallanes): 2-for-5, R, RBI. That is now two straight multi-hit games for Carrera and three in his last five games, so maybe his two week slump is coming to an end.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Saturday, November 26, 2011

2011 Winter Ball Stats: Week 6

Juan Diaz
Here are the up-to-date winter ball statistics for all Cleveland Indians players participating in fall/winter ball out in the Arizona Fall League, Dominican Winter League, Venezuelan Winter League, Puerto Rico Winter League, and Australian Baseball League.

Stats for the Panama Winter League and Columbia Winter League where a handful of Indians' players are playing are not available.

Stats are updated as of 11/26/2011.

BATTERS LGE G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS E
Aguilar, Jesus AFL 16 59 15 20 7 0 3 9 11 18 0 .339 .458 .610 1.069 1
Aguilar, Jesus VWL 2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 .333 .667 .333 1.000 1
Aguilar, Jesus TOT 18 62 15 21 7 0 3 9 14 18 0 .339 .474 .597 1.071 1
Battaglia, Ryan ABL 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Campbell, Andrew ABL 4 10 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 .100 .182 .200 .382 0
Carrera, Ezequiel VWL 22 88 13 22 2 3 1 7 8 14 5 .250 .317 .375 .692 3
Diaz, Juan DWL 10 26 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 0 .115 .207 .115 .322 1
Fedroff, Tim AFL 3 11 4 4 2 0 0 2 2 1 1 .364 .462 .545 1.007 0
Huffman, Chad AFL 17 70 6 15 6 0 1 11 10 13 0 .214 .313 .343 .655 1
Moncrief, Carlos AFL 8 23 4 4 1 0 0 0 5 8 0 .174 .367 .217 .584 2
Montero, Moises DWL 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Nilsson, Mitch ABL 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 .250 .400 .250 .650 0
Perez, Roberto AFL 16 53 13 12 1 0 4 11 13 10 0 .226 .382 .472 .854 0
Valbuena, Luis VWL 33 112 16 29 5 2 3 14 20 21 2 .259 .371 .420 .791 6

PITCHERS LGE W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO WHIP AVG
Bryson, Rob VWL 0 2 4.50 9 0 0 6.0 7 7 3 2 5 5 0.83 2.00 .292
Burns, Cory AFL 2 1 4.50 12 0 1 14.0 18 7 7 0 3 12 2.57 1.50 .305
Colon, Joseph PWL 0 0 8.10 3 0 0 3.1 7 3 3 0 1 1 3.50 2.40 .412
De La Cruz, Kelvin DWL 0 0 16.20 6 0 0 1.2 3 3 3 0 4 4 0.00 4.20 .429
Espino, Paolo VWL 1 1 7.50 3 3 0 12.0 15 10 10 3 4 8 2.50 1.58 .306
Guilmet, Preston AFL 0 0 6.43 10 0 0 14.0 18 12 10 0 8 12 1.30 1.86 .327
McFarland, T.J. AFL 3 0 3.18 8 7 0 28.1 30 12 10 1 13 22 2.24 1.52 .280
Rondon, Hector VWL 1 0 5.19 5 0 0 8.2 6 5 5 0 7 6 3.50 1.50 .194
Soto, Giovanni PWL 0 0 1.29 7 0 0 7.0 6 1 1 0 3 7 5.00 1.29 .250
Sturdevant, Tyler AFL 0 0 3.00 10 0 0 12.0 11 4 4 1 4 13 1.11 1.25 .239

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: November 25

Rob Bryson
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues. The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Venezuelan Winter League
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes del Magallanes): 2-for-4, R, 2B, HR, 2 RBI, BB. One of Carrera’s best games in awhile as he reached base in 3 of his 5 plate appearances and pounded out 2 extra base hits. The homer was his 2nd this offseason.
  • Rob Bryson (RP, Bravos de Margarita): 1.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R (0 ER), 0 BB, 1 K. Only Bryson’s third outing in three weeks. His opportunities have been limited, but that is the life of a prospect in a place where winning is everything in Venezuela.
  • Jesus Aguilar (PH-DH, Leones del Caracas): 1-for-2, 2B, 3 RBI, BB, K. It doesn’t matter where Aguilar has played this year, he just continues to hit and be a run producer. He came in late as a pinch hitter and got the deciding 3-run double in extra innings.
  • Luis Valbuena (2B, Cardenales de Lara): 2-for-3, RBI, BB. Valbuena is on a mini hot streak as in his last two games he is now 6-for-8 at the plate with a homer and 4 RBI. He also has 21 walks and 21 strikeouts in 34 games.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Friday, November 25, 2011

2012 Scouting Videos: Volume 4

Tim Fedroff
Today we continue along with the fourth batch of Cleveland Indians 2012 scouting videos. Here are the the previously posted volumes:

Volume 1
Volume 2
Volume 3

At the end of each week I from now until the end of December or the beginning of January I will be posting a volume of ten videos on Indians' prospects. I shot tons of video of over a 100 players this past season, and Michael Taylor edited down the collection of video for each player to make their 2012 videos for their upcoming 2012 scouting reports.

Thanks again to Michael for the excellent work in condensing down all the video and putting it together for each player for one comprehensive video.





















Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Around the Farm: November 24

Jesus Aguilar
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues. The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Venezuelan Winter League
  • Jesus Aguilar (DH, Leones del Caracas): 1-for-2, 2 BB. Aguilar made his first appearance in Venezuela in over two weeks, and it was just his second game overall. He reached base in three of four plate appearances and is continuing his strong fall showing after hitting .339/.458/.610 in 16 games in the AFL.
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes Magallanes): 1-for-4, SB. Carrera got off to a hot start in Venezuela, but has cooled of late thanks to a drop in his walk-strikeout rate. In his first 13 games he had 5 walks and 5 strikeouts, but in his last 10 games he has 3 walks and 9 strikeouts. 
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Happy Thanksgiving

This is just a quick note to all the loyal readers out there to say thank you for all of your continued support.

It’s been an interesting year for yours truly on so many fronts with the renal cancer diagnosis and other things. Through it all it has given this day a much different meaning to me this year. I know when I sit down at the table this year and take my turn to talk I will have a lot more to say I am thankful for!

Enjoy the day. Enjoy your family. Enjoy life.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone.

And, yes, Go Tribe!

Thanks for reading,
Tony

Around the Farm: November 23

Paolo Espino
Around the Farm (ATF) takes a quick look at some of the daily performances by Indians prospects. This is a special winter ball version of ATF that recaps all the offseason action by Indians players in the Caribbean Leagues.  The positions listed below are where the player was playing in the game.

Here is the rundown of what Indians players in winter ball did yesterday.

Dominican Winter League
  • Jerad Head (RF, Tigres del Licey): 1-for-4, K. Head is likely not to resign with the Indians, but we will keep tabs on him until he officially signs elsewhere. He is not playing too well this fall as in 24 games he is hitting .239/.292/.375. Such a performance will make it hard for him to get signed by a big league team, and he may end up signing and playing with a team overseas this coming season.
Puerto Rico Winter League
  • Giovanni Soto (RP, Gigantes de Carolina): 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K. Soto has pitched well in a relief role this fall as he has allowed a run in just 1 of his 7 appearances this fall. In 7.0 innings he has allowed 6 hits, 1 R/ER, 3 BB, and has 7 K.
Venezuelan Winter League
  • Ezequiel Carrera (CF, Navegantes del Magallanes): 0-for-5, 3 K. Carrera’s struggles continue with an 0-fer and 3 strikeouts. He has now struck out 6 times in his last 4 games (17 ABs) and in his last 10 games is hitting .179/.238/.231.
  • Paolo Espino (SP, Tiburones de la Guaira): 4.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R/ER, 2 HR, 1 BB, 2 K. Espino was rocked for the second time in 3 outings this fall. In 12.0 innings pitched he has now allowed 15 hits, 10 runs, 3 home runs, 4 walks, and has 8 strikeouts.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

The new CBA and how it affects the Indians

Bud Selig and Michael Weiner
(Photo: AP)
Major League Baseball and the Player’s Union unveiled a new Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) yesterday which will maintain labor peace for at least another five years. When this new agreement expires in 2016 there will have been 21 consecutive years of labor peace in the sport, which is something to be proud of when you consider some of the labor wars that have resulted in other sports in the past few years.

The new CBA brings a lot of good to the game as it will now include an additional wild card for each league – something which helps the Indians – and also adds or changes much needed things like the use of more replay for fair/foul and trapped ball calls, free agent compensation, minimum salary requirements, and more.

But the big changes were to the draft and international market; two things which will drastically affect how every team operates in both areas going forward, especially the Indians. Here are some random thoughts on those changes and how they may affect the Indians:
  • The biggest change is how teams will be capped on what they can spend on a draft before they are penalized with taxes or the loss of picks. For the upcoming 2012 Draft teams will be given a bonus pool of $4.5 million to $11.5 million based on where they are in the draft order and how many picks they have. The Astros have the #1 pick so will get the $11.5 million pool and the amount will go down from there until the last team which gets $4.5 million. The bonus pool applies to all picks signed in the first ten rounds plus any overage on picks signed after the 10th round in excess of $100K. If a team is 0-5% over their bonus pool they pay a 75% tax, if they are 5-10% over they pay a 75% tax and lose a 1st round pick the following year, if they are 10-15% over they pay a 100% tax and lose a 1st and 2nd round pick the following year, and if they are 15% or more over they pay a 100% tax and lose two 1st round picks.

  • Ouch. Those new draft stipulations with the taxes and loss of picks are harsh. It remains to be seen just how harsh they are as the total bonus pool is rather high, so teams should still be able to sign most of their picks without penalty. But say good-bye to the days of taking risks later in the draft after the 10th round as it will be near impossible for teams to sign any player for big money after the top ten rounds. For example, in 2008 the Indians signed 16th rounder left-handed pitcher T.J. House for $750K and 22nd rounder right-handed pitcher Bryce Stowell for $725K. Under the rules of the new agreement both of them could only sign for a maximum of $100K and anything over that would be added to their bonus pool for the top ten picks. That means almost $1.3 million from those two signings would have come directly off their bonus pool. Considering they picked late in the draft and spent about $4.7 million on their top ten picks in 2008, it would have resulted in a severe overage to the bonus pool and likely resulted in a tax and loss of picks. Obviously they would not have allowed this to happen, so the end result is they would not have signed House, Stowell and/or some of the other top ten picks.

  • And that is the problem with the new draft rules in the CBA. The league and Player’s Union will say that teams can still freely spend whatever they want on any player – which is true - but what the changes do is severely limit the quantity and quality of talent they can draft and sign. The top talent costs a lot, and if a team wants to draft that top talent and take the risk by spending money on bonuses for them they should be able to do so without restrictions. Yes, the new bonus pool will probably help level out some of the spending which had gotten out of control the last few years (give thanks to Neil Huntington and the Pirates for this), but this rule is essentially only helping the owners keep more money in their pockets. It hurts the teams and hurts the players as a greater amount of higher profile picks will now go to or return to college. Teams will have fewer opportunities to take more risks throughout the draft as their creativity will be stunted since or the most part the players taken after the 10th round will have to be signable players who go for slot.

  • The college coaches have to be celebrating right now as what MLB effectively just did was push a lot of talent to school. It is great that a lot of these kids out of high school will now go to college where they can get an education and also continue to improve, but going to college will not necessarily make them better players. There is no proof that going to college will make anyone player better, in fact for pitchers it is argued it can hurt some of them because they can be extremely overworked which puts them in danger of injury. There is no clear path to the big leagues as it can be argued that getting players into a professional environment with better training, coaching, nutrition, facilities, and so on is better for these high school players in the long run. The top high school talent will still sign, but say good-bye to those mid to upper high school talents teams had been taking risks on signing in recent years.

  • How does this affect the Indians? Well, they like a lot of other small to mid-market teams felt they could create a competitive advantage by “outscouting” teams. By spending a lot of resources on the draft to get the elite players they felt it was their one area to be ahead in the game of teams like the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, and so on. In recent years the Red Sox and others have gotten smarter and realized the draft is important, so that competitive advantage has shrunk, but it was still a playing ground where teams like the Indians could sign the players they wanted as long as they picked them. With the restrictions set by the bonus pool and to the top ten rounds, the Indians are now limited a lot more by what they can do in the draft. They can no longer really go above and beyond what a bigger market team may do in fear of drastic taxes and the loss of picks.

  • One thing I have not seen yet from the CBA is if the picks in the first three rounds are still protected. If so, you could see a lot of teams forego signing some of their first three picks and instead use that money to sign picks in later rounds. For example, in the 2012 Draft the Indians could sign their 1st rounder but elect not to sign their 2nd and 3rd rounder so they have more money to sign other players from the 4th to 10th round and maybe cover some of the overage from some picks they sign after the 10th round. Not only would this allow them to have extra money for later round picks, but it would also give them a 2nd and 3rd round pick as compensation in the 2013 Draft and more money in their bonus pool. That seems too easy of a way to manipulate things so maybe there are some parameters in place to avoid all of this, but if not I would not be surprised to see teams do this.

  • Teams can now no longer give drafted players Major League deals. This does not really affect the Indians too much as they were not big proponents of doling out Major League deals to first round picks. Of late teams have been more willing to sign players to Major League deals as it helps spread the signing bonus over a few years and helps the players get some additional perks. But these deals can often hurt a team as they have to carry a player around on the 40-man roster who may be a year or two away and may never reach the big leagues. The Indians learned this lesson nine years ago when they drafted Jeremy Guthrie with their 1st round pick in 2002 and gave him a Major League deal. Because he was signed to a Major League deal it only gave the Indians four years to keep him around before he had to stick on a 25-man roster, and they subsequently lost him after the 2006 season. In most cases clubs can control young talent for at least six or seven years when you include the three options that can be used when they are on a 40-man roster plus the three to four years they can be in the minors without having to be added to the 40-man roster. Had Guthrie been signed to a regular minor league deal with a bonus he probably would never have been rostered until 2004 or 2005 and thus would have been able to stick around an additional two or three years before being under the roster crunch because he was out of options. In a nutshell, this is a good change and essentially just saves the teams from themselves as the Major League deals were just not needed (or smart).

  • The draft signing deadline date has been moved up from August 15th to a date between July 12th and July 18th. Hallelujah! The date would have just been fixed at July 15th, but with the All Star game around then Major League Baseball wanted some flexibility to be able to change the date by a few days either way so as to not conflict with the midsummer classic. The last thing they wanted during the three day All Star period was teams spending all of their time scrambling to sign picks at the deadline. This was a much needed change as anyone who has seen what has gone down the last two years with the August signing deadline could see clear as day how much of a charade the whole thing had become. The big money first round picks or way overslot later round picks all waited until the deadline date to sign or it was the date that the league allowed teams to sign the players due to their way overslot bonuses. Hopefully this change will also allow teams to more freely announce deals as they happen rather than have to sit on them for days or weeks until the league says they can. Most importantly, it all but guarantees that newly drafted players will get out to short season ball and play a significant amount of games in their first summer. That is a win-win for the player and the organization.

  • There was also a significant change made on the international front where teams will have a $2.9 million cap on international bonus spending. Teams that go over that amount will be taxed and have their bonus budget for the next signing period reduced. This should help a team like the Indians as they have mostly operated under a $2 to $3 million international budget in recent years, so they can surely stay within those signing parameters. They have often avoided the big name signings because they were way overpriced and the market had become ridiculous, so now with the new bonus pool it will maybe level out some of the spending among other teams and get the market more in line. This could help them be in the running for more high profile players they may otherwise not have been in on in the past.

  • There have also reportedly been some changes to Super 2 status where more players will be eligible for, though no specifics have been provided yet on what the change was. If I were to guess it will simply be that less service time will be required for players with more than two years but less than three years of Major League service. Also, there reportedly are some changes to the fourth option year rule and outright assignments, but again, I am not privy to what those changes are at this time.

  • Bottom line, the new CBA offers up a lot of good things for the game, but when it comes to the changes made to the draft, from the outset it looks like it will hurt teams like the Indians. We will not really know for sure until this year’s draft occurs how much it affects things, but the good thing is there appears to be a good rapport between the league and Player’s Union where if this turns out to be a disaster that they could amend some of these changes after a couple of years.
Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI. Also, his latest book the 2011 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is available for purchase for $20.95 to customers in the US (shipping and handling extra).