Available IPI Books

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Tribe Happenings: Indians Should Be Quiet In Free Agency

Resigning Choo will be priority number
one for the Indians - AP
Some news and notes from my Tribe notebook…

Limited Checkbook

If anyone is expecting the Indians to be any kind of player in free agency this offseason, sorry, it's just not going to happen. This of course should not be much of a surprise given the financial situation the team is in these days.

In the past the Indians have been able make some considerable moves in free agency. They have never been big players for marquee free agents – which includes the 90s when they were at the pinnacle of their success - but when competitive they have always been able to spend a considerable amount of money on former All Stars in the twilight of their careers or good but not elite players to complement the core of the team.

This offseason, however, expect things to be very quiet on the free agent front.

There have been erroneous reports recently that the Indians would have $15-20 million to spend on free agents this offseason, which is simply not true. With more than a half dozen players up for salary arbitration, any money that is available is going to be allocated to signing those players. When you consider that the likes of Shin-Soo Choo, Asdrubal Cabrera, Chris Perez, Jensen Lewis and Rafael Perez (and others) are up for salary arbitration, the Indians are going to have an expensive offseason in their own right getting one year or multi-year contracts done with those players.

Instead, expect the Indians to go out and do what they have often done in the past by trying to find value in free agency at a very low cost.

It will be an offseason very reminiscent of the offseason between the 2003-2004 seasons, the year before they became contenders in 2005. For a quick trip down memory lane, the Indians most significant signings that offseason were second baseman Ronnie Belliard ($1.1 million), right-handed reliever Bob Howry ($900,000), right-handed reliever Jose Jimenez ($1 million), right-handed starter Jeff D'Amico ($750,000), and infielder Lou Merloni ($560,000). All were signed after Christmas.

In a lot of ways 2011 is viewed like 2004. A year where the team will expect leaps in performance from a few of their young players much the same as 2004, and one more year to sift through all the internal options and come up with a core to hopefully contend in 2012. With all that in mind, if the Indians sign any free agents this offseason they will be to one year low cost deals or to minor league non-guaranteed contracts with invites to spring training.

Nagy Heads West

Charlie Nagy’s return “home” to the Indians this past season turned out to be a short stay. On Tuesday he left the Cleveland Indians organization as the Triple-A Columbus pitching coach and accepted a job with the Arizona Diamondbacks to be their big league pitching coach.

Nagy, 43, was just as quiet and unassuming as a coach last season at Columbus as he was when he wore an Indians cap and took the mound every fifth day during the Indians run in the 90s. He showed a strong ability to work with young players, an ability to teach and relate to players, and understands both the mechanical and mental aspects of pitching. This is his first big league gig as a coach, so it will be interesting to see how things shake out in Arizona.

With Nagy’s departure, he is now the second coach from the Indians player development system to leave the organization in the past week for a big league opportunity as Double-A Akron manager Joel Skinner took a job with the Oakland A’s to be a bench coach last week. Nagy joins a very impressive staff in Arizona full of former big league All Stars in manager Kirk Gibson, bench coach Alan Trammell, hitting coach Don Baylor, first base coach Eric Young, and third base coach Matt Williams.

So who replaces Nagy as the Columbus pitching coach? His replacement will likely come from a short list of three internal candidates, that being Double-A Akron pitching coach Greg Hibbard, special assistant Jason Bere, or former Double-A Akron pitching coach and current assistant to the big league coaching staff Ruben Niebla.

Alomar Stays, For Now

Indians first base and catching coach Sandy Alomar Jr. is still with the Indians after the Toronto Blue Jays made their decision on Monday to hire Boston Red Sox pitching coach John Farrell as their new manager. According to numerous reports, Alomar was one of the final candidates for the job.

It is unknown how long Alomar plans to stay with the Indians, but if his name starts to pop up more and more for higher level coaching jobs and pay grades, it is hard to imagine he will be around for long. One big reason for him to stay (or the Indians to keep him) is the Indians have a very impressive young catcher in Carlos Santana who should keep Alomar very busy the next few years as he transitions to the big league game.

It is interesting that Farrell interviewed for and eventually accepted the job to be the Blue Jays manager. Last year he was very adamant about not wanting to interview for the same opening in Cleveland, so it makes you wonder what changed in a year’s time. At this time last year he was viewed as the favorite to land the Indians job, but when he pulled his name out of the running without even doing an interview it left many scratching their heads. Whether he was just not ready, not interested, there was bad blood between he and the Indians organization, or he just did not feel he could compete in Cleveland…we’ll never know.

Offseason Housecleaning

On Friday afternoon the Indians started some offseason housecleaning with their 40-man roster by outrighting catcher Chris Gimenez and right-handed pitchers Hector Ambriz and Anthony Reyes to Triple-A Columbus.

An outright to the minors is when a team removes a player from the 40-man roster by designating them for assignment (DFA), and then after they clear waivers they are able to send them to the minors. First time outrights have no choice but to accept their assignment to the minor leagues; however, if the player has been outrighted before they have the choice to be a free agent. Since the move on Friday occurred in the offseason, both Gimenez and Reyes are now free agents though the Indians will probably try to resign both.

Ambriz is not a free agent and is still the property of the Indians. He was a Rule 5 Draft pickup by the Indians last December and had to remain on the club’s 25-man big league roster all season in order to obtain his full rights. While the Indians managed to achieve that, it was determined late in the season that he had a tear in his pitching elbow and would need to undergo Tommy John surgery. As a result, since he will not pitch with the big league team in 2011 because of the length of time it takes to come back from the surgery, the Indians removed him from the roster knowing there would be little interest in scooping him up off waivers.

These moves are only the beginning of what is expected to be a pretty large roster purge in the coming days. The Indians roster is currently at 41 players, though this includes outfielder Grady Sizemore and catcher Carlos Santana who at the moment are on the 60-day disabled list and don’t count toward the 40-man roster total. Since there is no disabled list in the offseason, once the November 20th roster deadline comes both Sizemore and Santana will need to be added back to the 40-man roster. When you add in those two moves plus the fact the Indians need to roster several of their young minor league players who are up for roster protection from the Rule 5 Draft, as many as a half a dozen more outrights are coming.

As to who the next cuts will be, it is very likely that all of the following players (except maybe one) will meet the same fate as Gimenez, Reyes, and Ambriz in the coming days: catcher Luke Carlin, first baseman Wes Hodges, shortstop Carlos Rivero, right-handed pitcher Justin Germano, outfielder Shelley Duncan, and infielder Drew Sutton.

Going, going, gone

Another young minor league pitcher was released this past week, this time right-hander Gregorio Rosario.

This is about as insignificant a move as there is as Rosario never pitched above short-season Single-A ball in Mahoning Valley. The reason why it is noteworthy is some may recall he was the player the Indians acquired from the Seattle Mariners back on May 17, 2007 in exchange for right-handed pitcher Jason Davis.

Rosario came to the Indians as an interesting 18 year old pitching prospect, but in spring training the following year tore a ligament in his pitching elbow and had to have Tommy John surgery and missed the entire 2008 season. He returned and pitched briefly at rookie-level Arizona in 2009 (8 games, 3.38 ERA) and this year at Mahoning Valley (14 games, 5.16 ERA).

Indians Columbus Bound

The Indians and their Triple-A affiliate Columbus Clippers announced this week that they will hold an exhibition game at the end of spring training in Columbus, Ohio at Huntington Park on March 30th at 1:05pm.

For Cleveland area fans this probably means very little, but for those in Columbus this has to be pretty exciting news to have a major league team coming to their city. Even though it is just an exhibition game and the Indians big league team will probably not be much different from their Triple-A counterpart, this is still something unique and should create some buzz in Columbus. Kudos to the Indians and Clippers for putting this idea together, and hopefully this is something they can do each year going forward.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI.  His latest book the 2010 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is also available for purchase on his site for a special year end closeout sale of $10.00 (including shipping and handling).

Around the Farm: October 30

Here is a quick recap of how the players in the Cleveland Indians' system did in fall/winter league action on Saturday October 30th.  Happy Halloween!
  • Travis Turek - RP, Peoria Javelinas: 1.0 IP, 2 H, 3 R/ER, 2 BB, 0 K. Turek is also on the taxi squad and had a chance to appear in his third game in the AFL on Saturday. He struggled as he threw 10 strikes in 22 pitches (45.5%).
  • Cord Phelps - 3B, Peoria Javelinas: 3-for-5, R, K. Three singles in five at bats for Phelps, and once again a table setter at the top of the lineup. Had a fielding error, his 6th error in 9 games.
  • Jason Kipnis - 2B, Peoria Javelinas: 0-for-5, RBI, K. So far things have not been a lot of fun in the Arizona desert for Kipnis. Just 7 hits in 11 games, though 6 have been for extra bases.
  • Adam Abraham - DH, Peoria Javelinas: 0-for-4, R, BB, K. With the taxi squad active on Saturday, Abraham had a chance to play in his 5th game and ended up with his first hitless game in the AFL.
  • Jared Goedert - 3B, Leones del Caracas: 1-for-3, R, RBI, BB. Goedert was back to his more familiar position of 3B on Saturday night after playing first base for about a week straight.
  • Ezequiel Carrera - CF, Navegantes del Magallanes: 1-for-3, 2 R, 2 BB, SB. Carerra having a nice showing so far out in Venezuela hitting .310/.375/.397. Lack of power likely just makes him a 4th outfielder though.
  • Juan Apodaca - C, Aguilas del Zulia: 1-for-3, R. Rare chance to start for Apodaca who has now played just 4 games and has 10 at bats.

Saturday, October 30, 2010

Around the Farm: October 29

Here is a quick recap of how the players in the Cleveland Indians' system did in fall/winter league action on Friday October 29th:
  • Scott Barnes - SP, Peoria Javelinas: 4.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R/ER, 1 BB, 5 K. Barnes was credited with the win, though he clearly was not as sharp as he was in his first three outings as he threw just 37 of his 68 pitches for strikes (54.4%).
  • Eric Berger - RP, Peoria Javelinas: 1.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 0 K. Berger has still yet to allow a run in 5 games, though is walking on the wild side with 5 walks and 4 hits in 5.0 innings. He also only threw 11 of 21 pitches for strikes (52.4%).
  • Bryan Price- RP, Peoria Javelinas: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K. A clean outing for Price, his first one that he did not yield a run in 5 appearances. He threw 6 of his 10 pitches for strikes (60.0%).
  • Cord Phelps - 3B, Peoria Javelinas: 2-for-4, 3 R, 2B, BB, 2 K, E. Great game at the plate for Phelps as he got on base three times and scored all three times. He did have a fielding error, his fifth.
  • Roberto Perez - C, Peoria Javelinas: 0-for-5, 2 K. Another rough day at the plate for Perez, but he continues to show promise behind it picking off a runner at first base.
  • Matt McBride - LF, Gigantes del Cibao: 2-for-3, R, BB. McBride's best game at the plate so far in 7 games played in the Dominican Republic reaching base in three of his four at bats.
  • Juan Diaz - SS, Gigantes del Cibao: 0-for-2, K. Got the start at shortstop for the second straight night, but was subbed for late in the game.
  • Jerad Head - LF, Gigantes de Carolina: 2-for-5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI, 2 K. Head crushed his first home run of the winter season in the 4th inning, a two-run shot with two outs.
  • Juan Apodaca - DH, Aguilas del Zulia: 0-0. Late game substitution and did not record an official at bat.
  • Jared Goedert - 1B, Leones del Caracas: 1-for-4, BB, 2 K. Goedert at first base again, and looks like is where he is going to play most of this winter. In 12 games is hitting .308/.460/.410. The batting average and on-base% are nice to see, but need to see more power.
  • Ezequiel Carrera - CF, Navegantes del Magallanes: 0-for-5, 3 K. Rough night at plate breaks a string of 8 games where he was 14-for-31 at the plate (.452).
  • Luis Valbuena - SS, Cardenales de Lara: 0-for-3, 2 K. That's now three straight games without a hit (0-for-9). Played first 10 games at second base, but has now played shortstop ever since.

2010 Winter League Stats Update

Here is a snapshot of how all the Indians players are doing out in fall/winter ball. All stats are as of Saturday October 30th.


BATTERSLGEGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLG
Abraham, AdamAFL41535100133.333.444.400
Apodaca, JuanVWL41002100112.200.273.300
Carlin, LukeDWL5800000024.000.200.000
Carrera, EzequielVWL14551017500546.309.356.400
Constanza, JoseDWL625711000223.440.481.440
Diaz, JuanDWL2311000001.333.333.333
Goedert, JaredVWL123961240031011.308.460.410
Head, JeradPWL62357201524.304.407.522
Kipnis, JasonAFL103957312934.179.238.462
McBride, MattDWL72537200146.280.379.360
Montero, LucasDWL3200000001.000.000.000
Perez, MiguelVWL51002100314.200.250.300
Perez, RobertoAFL62303100225.130.200.174
Phelps, CordAFL832792101109.281.452.406
Reyes, ArgenisDWL51212000111.167.231.167
Valbuena, LuisVWL15506112002106.220.350.260


PITCHERSLGEGGSIPHRERHRBBSOERAGO/AOWHIPAVG
Barnes, ScottAFL4414.2169903195.521.091.30.276
Berger, EricAFL505.04100540.000.831.80.200
Judy, JoshDWL302.10000010.001.000.00.000
Lee, ChenAFL506.07551177.500.831.33.280
Price, BryanAFL505.210960429.533.672.47.357
Turek, TravisAFL202.02110014.500.251.00.286

Friday, October 29, 2010

Indians Remove Three From 40-man Roster

The Cleveland Indians today announced that they have outrighted right-handed pitcher Hector Ambriz, catcher Chris Gimenez, and right-handed pitcher Anthony Reyes to Triple-A Columbus.

Since this is the second time Gimenez and Reyes have been outrighted off a 40-man roster, they are now eligible for free agency. As a first time 40-man roster removal, Ambriz is still with the Indians.

The Indians 40-man roster now currently stands at 39 players. Both catcher Carlos Santana and outfielder Grady Sizemore are on the 60-day disabled listed and are not included in that current total of 39.

Around the Farm: October 28

Here is a quick recap of how the players in the Cleveland Indians' system did in fall/winter league action on Thursday October 28th:
  • Chen Lee - RP, Peoria Javelinas: 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R/ER, 0 BB, 1 K. A clean outing for Lee, something that has been tough to come by in the early going for him. To be expected when you throw 15 of 20 pitches for strikes (75%).
  • Cord Phelps - DH, Peoria Javelinas: 1-for-3, R, 2 BB, K, SB. Phelps is showing all kinds of top of the order ability at the plate so far in the AFL with a .432 on-base%, more walks than strikeouts (9:7), and 3 stolen bases.
  • Jason Kipnis - 2B, Peoria Javelinas: 1-for-4, R, 2B. Now just one multi-hit game in 11 games in the AFL, and aside from the one outstanding outing in his one multi-hit game where he went 2-for-5 with a 3B, HR, and 5 RBI, his production in the other ten games has been poor.
  • Matt McBride - RF, Gigantes del Cibao: 0-for-3, 1 BB.  McBride is now 1 for his last 10 at the plate, and in 22 total at bats has just 1 RBI and two extra base hits.
  • Lucas Montero - PH, Gigantes del Cibao: 0-for-1, K. Montero gets a rare at bat as a pinch hitter late in the game but strikes out.  Has played in just three games as a sub and has two official plate appearances.
  • Jose Constanza - CF, Toros del Este: 1-for-3, BB.  Constanza may only be a 4th outfielder at best in the big leagues, but it is going to still sting a little when the Indians lose him this offseason to minor league free agency.  He could still resign, but why would he with how buried he is in the outfield?
  • Luke Carlin - C, Aguilas Cibanes: 0-for-2, K. Late game sub, and continues to serve in a backup capacity and do very little at the plate when given an opportunity.
  • Juan Diaz - SS, Estrelles de Oriente: 1-for-3, R, K. The first true appearance in a game for Diaz. He had played on Oct 24th, but did not record an official at bat.
  • Luis Valbuena - SS, Cardenales de Lara: 0-for-2, 2 R, 3 BB.  Valbuena is getting a lot of playing time in Venezuela, and has moved around the field between second, third and short.  He is only hitting .234, but even though it has just been 14 games, it is interesting to note he has 10 walks to just 4 strikeouts (47 AB).
  • Ezequiel Carrera - OF, Navegantes del Magallanes: 2-for-3, R. The guy who essentially killed any chance for Constanza to make the big league roster.  Has now hit in four straight contests and is 7-for-14 in those games.
  • Jared Goedert - 1B, Leones del Caracas: 1-for-3, R. Goedert has been playing a lot of first base in Venezuela. He was also taken out of the game in the later innings, so hopefully he is healthy. He had missed three straight games on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday before playing again Wednesday.

2010 Instructional League: Final Stats

Here are the final stats from the 2010 Instructional League out in Arizona. Note, the final stats listing is not 100% complete due to the absence of about three to four games worth of stats, but this should still give an idea how players did regardless. Also, in case you missed them the final Parallel League stats were posted on Saturday. Both of these stat listings will be housed in the reference section on the right panel.


BattersAVGSLGGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSE
Charlie Valerio1.0004.00012111001110000
Ronny Rodriguez.000.00024400000002000
Juan Romero.143.3576161422001125000
Tyler Holt.130.26152623330011310001
Nick Bartolone.250.25024401000000000
Delvi Cid.167.16726611000002100
Alex Monsalve.240.4407272546201437202
Abner Abreu.333.66723311100001000
Robel Garcia.333.6007171545210023100
Chia-Ching Lin.250.25059812000012020
Leonardo Castillo.200.2005171543000024220
Bo Greenwell.250.25025401000011000
Erik Gonzalez.143.14349711000016000
Levon Washington.250.31362116241001410001
Carlos Moncrief.000.00025400000012000
Hunter Jones.000.0005151410000107000
Chase Burnette.043.0437272311000328101
Luigi Rodriguez.121.15263933241005412102
Kyle Bellows.000.00026500000011000
Mark Brown.208.3752282415210347211
Alex Lavisky.200.31454135172103613311
Jesus Aguilar.000.00036600000005000
Tony Wolters.071.0716141401000008000
Diego Seastrunk.111.2784191812001119000
Jorge Martinez.667.9176161228300022210
Trent Baker.000.00012110000011000
Donnie Webb.000.00012200000001000


PitchersERAWHIPTPGOIPHRERBBSOTBF FPS
Adam Miller0.001.00121311000143
Jason Knapp0.000.00191310000142
Nick Hagadone0.000.50301621000273
T.J. McFarland0.001.00171621001186
Felix Sterling10.802.609121551066352815
Tony Dischler5.791.29562144.243323155
Kyle Blair3.861.431143217.4733383011
Elvis Araujo7.712.5768272.1352332110
Enosil Tejeda4.501.50872124352342512
Drew Pomeranz6.001.561703279696864517
Giovanni Soto6.002.3346193642101611
Anthony Reyes9.004.0058262742112014
Austin Adams9.001.503216234200104
Luis Encarnacion3.380.0023282.20110375
Rafael Homblert4.501.17833186653162618
Jose Lopez2.701.20762103.1311162013
Manuel Carmona8.312.081393134.17442103624

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Indians 40-man Review: Who Do They Remove?

Photo Credit: Tony Lastoria
With the World Series getting under way on Wednesday, the official start to the 2010-2011 offseason draws nearer for Major League Baseball.

The November 20th roster deadline is a little over three weeks away.  This is a key date in the offseason where teams set their 40-man rosters for the upcoming season by making decisions on which players to keep, which players to remove, and which young players to add in order to protect them from the Rule 5 Draft in December.  Decisions are also made by teams in regard to how many spots to leave open for potential free agents signings.

When it comes to filling out the 40-man roster at this time of the year, it all comes down to a combination of need and talent.  Most of the additions to the 40-man roster are who organizations view as their best young talent in the minors that is up for roster protection from the Rule 5 Draft.  The rest of the additions come from signings through free agency with a few waiver claims potentially sprinkled in.

Teams conduct several meetings from the final month of the season until the roster deadline date as they work to whittle down the roster and finalize it before the deadline.  Many decisions on who to remove and who to add from the roster are obvious, but other decisions are not so cut and dry.

Whether obvious or not, teams will wait until right around the deadline date to officially make the moves in order to let things play out.  Teams rarely make roster decisions on who to add well in advance of the deadline since there is no rush to do so and it could be a decision that results in disaster. What if the player being rostered is playing winter ball then goes out the next day and gets seriously hurt? This is a situation the team wants to avoid, and is why most of these decisions typically always go down to the last minute.

Occasionally, a team will open up a roster spot by trading a player already on the 40-man roster in exchange for a non-roster player that is not required to be protected.  Even more rare are trades at this time of the year involving Rule 5 eligible players that teams may not have room on their roster to protect.  This is mostly because other teams are in the same boat, and also because teams have little interest to acquire a player that if they are even interested in they can just go out and try to pick them up in the Rule 5 Draft for little cost.

With all this in mind, let's take a look at what decisions the Indians may make in creating room on the 40-man roster prior to the November 20th roster deadline.  In the next week or two I will follow this piece up with a look at what players from their farm system the Indians will consider adding to the 40-man roster.

Roster Analysis

The Indians currently have 44 players on the 40-man roster.  At the moment they are four players over the 40-man limit because they have four players that are on the 60-day disabled list: catcher Carlos Santana, outfielder Grady Sizemore, and right-handed pitchers Anthony Reyes and Hector Ambriz.  Players on the 60-day disabled list do not count toward the 40-man roster.

Since there is no disabled list in the offseason, all players on the 60-day disabled list have to be added back to the 40-man roster (or released) by the November 20th roster deadline.  As a result, in the coming days the Indians will have to remove at least four players from the 40-man roster just to create room for these four players on the 40-man roster who are on the 60-day disabled list.  If they want to add players from their minor league system and a free agent or two, they will need to remove more than four players.

Who Stays, Who Goes

Before we get into who stays or goes, it should be noted that players like outfielder Trevor Crowe, left-handed pitcher Aaron Laffey and right-handed pitcher Jensen Lewis are not in danger of being designated for assignment (DFA).  Well, at least not until spring training.

While all three are marginal major league talents, Crowe and Laffey still have one option remaining so have some value as at worst depth options in 2011.  Lewis may be on his way out of the organization, but he should remain with the club until spring training while the Indians seek a trade partner or his value increases because of injuries to other relievers.

Looking at the rest of the current 40-man roster, the following players appear to have a questionable status on the roster: Hector Ambriz (RHP), Luke Carlin (C), Shelley Duncan (OF/1B), Justin Germano (RHP), Chris Gimenez (C), Wes Hodges (1B), Chad Huffman (OF/1B), Andy Marte (3B/1B), Anthony Reyes (RHP), Carlos Rivero (SS), Drew Sutton (SS/2B), Jess Todd (RHP), and Luis Valbuena (2B).

That's a lot of guys ranging from low to high chances at being removed from the roster.  Here is a breakdown on the chances of each player being removed:

Hector Ambriz:  The Indians made it through all of 2010 without having to send Ambriz back to the Diamondbacks as a Rule 5 pick, so he is 100% the property of the Indians now as they have the full complement of three options and can pretty much do what they please with him for the next three years.  However, since he just underwent Tommy John surgery and won't pitch in the big leagues in 2011, it is very unlikely that if he were designated for assignment that anyone would claim him off waivers.  Even with the flexibility he provides respective to the 25-man roster with his three options they do not help in regard to creating room on the 40-man roster as he is still taking up space as a marginal player who is unusable in 2011.

Decision: The Indians DFA him, he clears waivers, and is outrighted to the minors.  He would still be under the Indians control as a first time 40-man roster removal, so unless claimed by another team he remains under their control in 2011 and beyond.  This is much like the Adam Miller situation from last offseason.

Luke Carlin: The Indians two catchers at the big league level next year will be Carlos Santana and Lou Marson, but if Santana needs more time to recover from his knee surgery or if they want to start Marson in Columbus to play everyday and get more seasoning, the Indians will need a third catcher on the roster.  If the Indians go this route, they could always find that third catcher on the free agent market like they did with Mike Redmond last offseason, or go with Carlin or even Chris Gimenez.  Carlin is a likeable guy who has some value as organizational depth at catcher, but not worthy of a 40-man spot.

Decision:  The Indians DFA Carlin, he clears waivers, and he becomes a free agent.  There is a good chance the Indians try and resign him to a minor league deal with an invite to major league camp this spring.  If resigned, he likely would be the regular catcher at Triple-A Columbus.

Shelley Duncan:  Duncan provided some much needed leadership for a very young team and also a powerful bat from the right side of the plate hitting .231 with 11 HR, 36 RBI and a .736 OPS in 85 games last year.  If he remains on the team he would serve as a right-handed complement to Travis Hafner at DH and also provide a right-handed bat off the bench to play left field and first base.  He’s 31 years old though and the very definition of a 4A player, which are the kind of players you don’t protect and instead look to sign (or resign) to minor league deals.

Decision: The Indians DFA Duncan, he clears waivers, and they try to resign him as a minor league free agent.

Justin Germano:  Germano was a bright spot in the Indians bullpen in the second half of the season posting an 0-3 record, 3.31 ERA, .205 BAA, and 0.99 WHIP in 23 appearances.  Maybe the Indians found a diamond in the rough, or maybe it just took awhile for things to catch up with him.  Bottom line, he's a dime a dozen pitcher and at best a long man or 6th inning guy, and with a team so deep with internal bullpen options they need to protect, it would be surprising if they kept him around.

Decision: The Indians DFA Germano, he clears waivers, and they look to resign him as a minor league free agent with an invite to major league spring training.

Chris Gimenez:  Gimenez has very good leadership skills and works well with a pitching staff.  He is also versatile as in addition to catching he can play third base, first base, and left field.  Unfortunately, with the Indians likely to be pretty versatile on the bench, his versatility is no longer as valued.  On top of that, even though the sample size is small, in the limited amount of at bats he has had in the big leagues he has performed poorly.

Decision: The Indians DFA Gimenez, he clears waivers, and the Indians try to resign him as a free agent.  As a second time outright he can chose to sign with any club as a free agent, so it will be interesting if he seeks greener pastures elsewhere.

Wes Hodges: This one should be the most obvious as the Indians already tried to remove Hodges from the roster back on July 27th when they DFAed him only to have the Colorado Rockies claim him off waivers.  The Rockies then DFAed him shortly after that and tried to sneak him through waivers, but the Indians reclaimed him back on August 5th.  It was one of the more bizarre series of transactions for one player seen in awhile, and showed the lack of value he has to a big league 25-man roster not only in Cleveland but all the other 29 teams.

Decision: The Indians will once again DFA Hodges, and this time no one claims him.  Remember, he was never outrighted by the Indians or Rockies as in both cases he was claimed and remained on the 40-man roster, so he will have no choice but to accept an outright assignment to the minors with the Indians.

Chad
Huffman:  Huffman was an interesting late season pickup by the Indians.  The Indians claimed him off waivers from the Yankees on September 17th, so it would appear they made the transaction for a reason seeing as he would not be able to play or do anything for them until this coming spring.  He is a right-handed power bat the organization really needs to balance out a very left-handed laden outfield in Cleveland, and more importantly he has two option years remaining.  While there appears to be little chance for impact, he could fill the role Duncan had in 2010 as a guy who opens the season in Triple-A but is one of the first promoted when a need arises.

Decision:  Huffman has a good chance at sticking, especially since he was a pickup so late in the season.  He’s not in the clear though as while he likely remains on the 40-man as of the November deadline, he will be one of the first candidates up for removal when a free agent is signed to a guaranteed major league deal later in the offseason.

Andy Marte:  A year ago Marte was kept around because he was considered the best option defensively at third base and first base for the major league team.  Sadly, this still appears true, even with Marte's defense these days decaying to maybe a tick above average.  He still has yet to ever show he can hit in the big leagues as he hit .229 with 5 HR, 19 RBI and a .680 OPS in 80 games last year, and in five seasons from 2006-2010 he has hit .218 with 20 HR, 96 RBI and a .635 OPS.

Decision: Because the Indians have such a need at third base, it looks like Marte will survive another roster purge in the short term and go into spring training in competition for the third base job or as the right-handed bat off the bench.  The man has more lives than a cat, though like Huffman could be one of the first options to DFA later in the offseason if the Indians acquire a player via free agency or trade.

Anthony Reyes:  Reyes is still recovering from Tommy John surgery and has shown some progress of late in his recovery where the Indians may consider him as a fifth starter candidate next year or as a swing man in the bullpen.  It is also possible they could have him open the season on the disabled list to continue his rehab and sort of serve as a “reserve” pitching option until a need arises.  The problem is he offers very little flexibility as he needs to be pitching in the big leagues or be on the disabled list since he cannot be sent to the minors and remain in the organization unless he is on a 30-day rehab assignment.  The Indians have several pitchers who may have higher priority for the final two spots in the rotation, and while the need for a veteran starter seems to be a big target they want to acquire this offseason, Reyes probably doesn’t fit the kind of player they are looking for.

Decision: The Indians DFA Reyes, he clears waivers, and they resign him to a minor league deal with an invite to major league camp in spring training.

Carlos Rivero:  Every year Rivero is held in such high regard by the Indians, but every year he falls short of expectations.  Even with the absence of really any good minor league season under his resume or outstanding defensive skills, he continues to be held in that regard.  The Indians surprised many by rostering him last offseason, a move that at the time was questioned and in hindsight looks unnecessary as he is not held in nearly as high regard by those outside the wigwam.  After a very sub par return trip to Double-A Akron last year, the Indians may have finally wised up on him.

Decision:  The Indians DFA Rivero, he clears waivers, and is outrighted to the Indians minors as a first time 40-man roster removal.

Drew Sutton:  Sutton would appear to be a player the Indians will very much consider for a big league opportunity as their utility man to start the season next year.  With the absence of any real utility player options on the roster other than Luis Valbuena, both Valbuena and Sutton will probably stick around to at least compete for the job in spring training next year.  He could also be Jason Donald's left handed handcuff at second base.  He does offer some flexibility as he has one option remaining, but he also would likely create little interest on the waiver wire if he were DFAed.

Decision:  Sutton is likely DFAed, and as a first time outright - if he clears waivers - he has no choice but to accept the Indians decision to outright him to the minors for 2011.  He battles for the big league utility gig as a non-rostered player.

Jess Todd:  At first glance it would appear that Todd is safe on the 40-man for now considering the Indians picked him up as part of the Mark DeRosa trade in July 2009; however, it did not go unnoticed that the Indians chose not to call him up in September.  Even when Triple-A Columbus' season was complete, the Indians instead opted to purchase the contract of right-handed pitcher Vinnie Pestano and add him to the roster to give him a few looks rather than just callup Todd who was already on the roster.  This seems to show he is of lower priority now to the club, and one of the bullpen options likely to be discarded first.

Decision: Todd will very likely stick around for awhile longer, but could be one of the first bullpen options discarded next season unless his usage and role increases.

Luis Valbuena:  In 2010 Valbuena had one of the worst offensive seasons seen by an Indians player in some time.  For most organizations he probably would have already been shown the 40-man door, but the Indians often tend to be very patient with players on the 40-man roster, especially when the player was part of a significant trade like the one consummated in December 2008 with Seattle for Franklin Gutierrez.  Valbuena did show promise in 2009 with a good year at the plate, so there could be a sense that 2010 was just an extreme hiccup and that he will rebound to normal levels in 2011.  He does provide some versatility at third base, second base and even shortstop, and because of that could be one of the main candidates for the utility infielder role next season.  He also has one option remaining, so he provides some roster versatility next season.

Decision:  The Indians aren’t ready to pull the plug yet, and will give him at least half a season next year before considering giving him the axe.

Final Tally

Remember, guys like Chris Gimenez, Wyatt Toregas, and Andy Marte survived the November 20th roster cuts last year, so there are certain to be a couple of guys kept on the roster that will leave people scratching their heads.  As we saw though, a few “sacrificial lambs” are kept on the 40-man in the event roster room needs to be made to add a free agent or trade acquisition.  Teams keep a few of these players on the roster instead of loading up with straight prospects so as to not have to DFA a prospect they might otherwise not want to.

In the end, at this point it looks like Huffman, Marte, Todd, and Valbuena may be safe, but Ambriz, Carlin, Duncan, Germano, Gimenez, Hodges, Reyes, Rivero, and Sutton look to be on the outs.  That would leave five spots open on the 40-man roster to add players from within prior to the roster deadline

So what internal options will the Indians look to fill those open spots?  We'll take a look at all the options in the upcoming followup piece in about two weeks.

Follow Tony and the Indians Prospect Insider on Twitter @TonyIPI.  His latest book the 2010 Cleveland Indians Top 100 Prospects & More is also available for purchase on his site for a special year end closeout sale of $10.00 (including shipping and handling).