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Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Indians Top 100 Prospects: #17 Luis Valbuena

17. Luis Valbuena - Second Baseman
Born: 11/30/1985 - Height: 5'10" - Weight: 200 - Bats: Left - Throws: Right

YearAgeTeamLvlGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLGOPS
200317AguirreR50167263811412220253.228.323.359.682
200418AguirreR612164478246234271511.361.444.5561.000
200519EverettA-7428747751031251313714.261.333.443.776
 19TacomaAAA34000000120.000.000.000.000
200620WisconsinA893254593166338444421.286.371.400.771
 20Inland EmpA+43163184110121014261.252.315.362.677
200721West TennAA122444551062331144488310.239.311.378.689
200822West TennAA70240437312294031378.304.381.483.864
 22TacomaAAA58212416490220283210.302.383.373.756
 22SeattleMLB184961250014110.245.315.347.662
 23Career 5702058319568115254225924430178.276.355.417.772

History:  Valbuena was signed as an undrafted free agent out of Venezuela in August 2002 by the Seattle Mariners, and the Indians acquired him from the Mariners as part of a three team deal on December 10, 2008.  He just turned 23 years old on November 30th, and after a down year in 2007 he had a sensational 2008 campaign splitting time between Double-A, Triple, and the majors to put his name back on the prospect map finishing with career highs in several categories namely batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.  In addition to his career numbers, Valbuena had a very good performance in the Venezuela Winter League where he hit .291 with 5 HR, 20 RBI and had an .862 OPS in 49 games.  In a strange coincidence his keystone combination in Venezuela was shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera. 

Strengths & Opportunities:  Valbuena's biggest upside as a player is his bat, which is the main reason the Indians acquired him.  He has a good approach at the plate, and has demonstrated good bat-to-ball ability with a quick bat with a nice line-drive stroke.  He is not intimidated by anyone when he steps into the box and profiles as a top of the order hitter because of his ability to work counts, never give away an at bat, take walks, make consistent contact and showcase decent speed.  Coming into last season he had shown the ability to control the strike zone throughout his minor league career from 2005-2007 with a 192-138 strikeout to walk ratio (1.4:1) and 6.3 AB/K ratio, and showed an improvement with his approach last season with a 6.6 AB/K ratio and 69-59 strikeout to walk ratio (1.2:1).  He currently has doubles power and is a gap hitter, but he continues to get stronger which is a reason he saw his power numbers improve last year.  While he is only considered an average runner, his overall game and ability has often been compared to Ray Durham and his physical look is a lot like Juan Uribe. 

Valbuena has a reputation as being more of an offensive player, but he has dedicated himself the past few seasons in improving his defense.  The fruits of his labor started to show last season as Seattle officials raved about his improvement on defense.  He has now pushed himself up to a fringe above-average defensive second baseman that makes all the routine plays while displaying very good range, a strong arm, and the ability to make consistent, accurate throws.  He works well around the bag showing good footwork and is mechanically sound turning the double play especially with his quick pivot.  With his offensive and defensive skills, he should end up at worst as an average big league second baseman. 

That said, Valbuena lacks really any versatility to play another position - much in the same vein as Josh Barfield - so at this point the only way he will make a roster is as a starter at second base and not as a bench option unless he is in some sort of platoon with another player at the position.  There is also some concern about his body because of his very stocky build which could give him some problems with his weight down the road, but so far this has not been an issue for him. 

Outlook:  Valbuena's acquisition fills a huge void in the middle infield in the upper levels of the Indians minor league system.  At the moment, after the acquisition of Mark DeRosa to fill out the big league infield, the plan for Valbuena is to open the season as the everyday second baseman in Triple-A Columbus.  He still needs to be polished off, and has some development and upside left, but he provides the Indians good middle infield depth for this season and beyond and could potentially become the starting second baseman by the middle of the 2009 season. 

Photo courtesy of Ken Carr 

Luis Valbuena MinorLeagueBaseball.com stats page 

Luis Valbuena Baseball-Reference page 

Luis Valbuena MinorLeagueSplits.com page

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